33% of Those Tested in Chelsea MA Had COVID-19 Antibodies in Their Blood

Mass General Hospital performed random COVID-19 antibody testing in a suburban neighborhood of Boston (Chelsea, MA) and found that 1/3 of those tested were positive.  Performing my patented back of the envelope calculations on statistics available from Massachusetts I find the following:

Massachusetts has a population of about seven million people.  1,404 Massachusetts residents have died from COVID-19 infection.  Assuming that 33.3% of the state has been infected by the virus then the death rate from COVID-19 in Massachusetts is 0.06%.  And that actually is in the range of deaths you’d expect from the normal flu.

Alright, let’s check the assumptions.  Is Chelsea representative of Massachusetts as a whole?  Probably not.  It’s more densely populated than most parts of the state.  So let’s do the calc again for Chelsea:

Chelsea has a population of about 40,000. people.  39 Chelsea residents have died from COVID-19 infection.  Assuming that 33.3% of Chelsea has been infected by the virus then the death rate from COVID-19 in Chelsea is 0.29%.  Now that is higher than the death rate for the normal flu, let’s say five times higher.  But that’s a lot less scary than the extinction event they’ve making this thing out to be.

So, here is where we are.  For most people who will “catch” the COVID-19 virus they will never know they had it.  They’ll think their allergies or a cold gave them some symptoms for a day or two.  For something like three people out of a thousand, mostly the elderly or the chronically ill, this virus will be a life or death struggle.  If society wants to spare those people from risk they’ll need to be isolated.  For everyone else we need to go on with our lives and get back to work so our taxes can pay for taking care of the vulnerable.

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War Pig
War Pig
7 months ago

Huzzah! Logic speaks. Too bad politics is not logical.

War Pig
War Pig
7 months ago

Just read that in supposedly lightly hit California, now that massive numbers of antibody tests have become available, it turns out over EIGHTY times more people have the corona antibody than claimed sickness. So that brings corona’s mortality rate down below the seasonal flu.

Governors and the DNC are watching closely to see what they can get away with bullying the people. Next we will be locked down over Global Warming.

I am glad to see counter protests, some of them armed, taking place in various states. Long live the US Constitution.

Chip
Chip
7 months ago

I said from the get go that this would be on par with the flu at worst. Some medical people in my family scoffed at my prediction. Suddenly they are very quiet now. Carlin was spot on. A bunch of weak people with weak immune systems afraid they’re going to die. https://youtu.be/X29lF43mUlo

War Pig
War Pig
7 months ago
Reply to  photog

He has a point. You cannot get herd immunity without disease. Remember how the Martians went down in War Of The Worlds.

I, also said flu was just as dangerous as Corona. All but a very few scoffed at me as well.