Senators are Saying the Farce May be Over By Sunday

Apparently more senators are coming forward to tell the press that the Republicans have the votes to deny witnesses and move on to the final vote this weekend.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/witnesses-trump-impeachment-trial-end-quickly-gop-sources/story?id=68639038&cid=social_twitter_abcn

Good.  It’s about time.  I can’t wait for the State of the Union Address.  Maybe Pelosi will boycott it and we won’t have to see her hideous face.

 

22JAN2020- OCF Update

So I haven’t bothered to read any detailed reports of the Senate Trial.  But the headlines are amusing and encouraging.  Apparently Mitch McConnell has kept his nerve and stonewalled the Dems on all their requests to extend the trial and showboat for the media.  Good for you, turtle man.  Let him keep that up for another day or two and we can move on to something really important, namely the sign stealing scandal in Major League Baseball.  Perhaps Nancy Pelosi can inject herself into that crisis.  If I remember my history Nancy was involved in that earlier baseball scandal involving the 1919 Chicago Black Sox when she seduced Shoeless Joe Jackson by showing him a not so shapely ankle in exchange for his cooperation in throwing the World Series.  During testimony Shoeless Joe lamented, “That old bag’s ankle was definitely not worth the lifetime baseball ban.”  Or so I’ve heard.

The other political story of interest is Bernie Sanders holding his ground against a full court press by the press.  They have accused him of everything including being “like Donald Trump,” which is as close as they can come to issuing a fatwa against him.  But one story I glanced at claimed that a new nationwide poll has Bernie  leading Creepy Uncle Joe for the first time.  If Bernie gets the nomination I think it would be the first time in history that a U. S. Presidential election featured only men born in New York City.  A definite sign of the apocalypse.  A lot of people are saying Bernie is a bigger threat than any of the other Dem candidates.  Maybe that’s true.  He definitely promises a lot of stuff and he does claim he’s for the people.  Well, either way I don’t think any of these doofuses will give the President much trouble.

Work is a bear right now but I’ll try to squeeze in a post whenever humanly possible.  I’ve got some more country music reviews and of course Star Trek must go on.  I’ll add some more stuff to reclaiming the family and of course The He-Man Woman Haters’ Club but those posts shouldn’t be rushed.  They need time and loving care.

Stay tuned.

 

A Use for the Senate Trial

I anticipate this trial to be a ridiculous farce with the Dems attempting to use headlines as a way to force the Senate Republicans to cave on a long list of hostile witnesses in order to drag this thing out.  And the MSM will amplify their nonsense incessantly.  And hopefully Mitch McConnell will ignore all this and only provide the minimum time and air time to the Democrats.

What isn’t certain is how much of a show McConnell will allow.  If McConnell had 51 reliable votes, he could go for a preliminary vote to refuse to go through with the trial.  But as I’ll enumerate later there aren’t 51 reliable votes.  The next least offensive choice is to forgo any evidence and after the two sides make their opening statements have the Senate go directly to a vote on conviction.  That President Trump would win such a vote is a foregone conclusion.  After that we get to uglier scenarios.  If the President’s counsel and the House losers get to call witnesses this will be a three-ring circus complete with clowns and a freak show.

If I were to guess I’m going with a vote right after the opening statement.  That would seem to be the option that we know we have the votes for that does the least damage.

But one thing is certain.  A number of Senate Republicans will be turncoats and stab the President in the back.  What this Trial will do is expose all the unreliable and/or hostile Senate Republicans.  We can make a few assumptions ahead of time.  Mitt Romney will be a turncoat.  He’ll immediately start spouting Democrat talking points before even they do.  Susan Collins of Maine is the most vulnerable Republican due to the Massachusetts colonization of Maine over the last twenty years.  And of course, no list of unreliable Senate Republicans is complete without Lisa Murkowski of Alaska.  She voted against Justice Kavanaugh and she’ll vote against President Trump just because she can.  So, these are the knowns.  Who are the unknowns?  That is the good that will come out of this.  We’ll find every single weak-kneed sister and every double crosser in the Senate.

So, there you have it.  I have managed to come up with a bright side to the Impeachment travesty.  Nancy Pelosi, Adam Schiff, Nadler and the other nimrods have assembled this sideshow that I will make a definite point to avoid but based just on the voting transcript I’ll have a perfect count of the Senate Republicans that we can and cannot count on when the chips are down.  That’s my silver lining.

The Silver Lining of the Impeachment Cloud

Now that the hens in the House have clucked up their impeachment chicken feed it’s time to see what good can be had from this travesty.  The latest polls show that the impeachment is under water from the public’s point of view, a majority is against it.  And that’s for the whole country.  Among Republican voters it’s closer to 100%.  So you would have to imagine that anywhere Republican voters are in the majority that a Democrat congressman who voted for impeachment would be in a lot of trouble.

Here is the list of the 31 Democrat congress-critters that represent districts that President Trump took in his 2016 election along with the President’s winning percentage.

To my way of thinking, any district that the President won by five or more points is very likely to go for a Republican in 2020.  And because of the presidential race and also because of the backlash that the impeachment vote in the House will engender I would not be surprised if everything won by three or more percentage points in 2016 doesn’t go to a Republican.  That is twenty-one seats.  That is a couple of seats more than is needed to flip the House back to the Republicans.  And honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if that number goes even higher.  The President is much more popular than he was in 2016 or even 2018.  So much so that I wouldn’t doubt that in 2020 he’s going to win districts and even states that he didn’t take in 2016.  For that reason I think it’s highly likely that the House will switch hands again in 2020 and President Trump will have a usable Republican congress with which to pass important legislation.  So to the extent that Nancy Pelosi facilitated this with her ridiculous impeachment charade, then I say thank you Crypt Keeper, good work.  Now go off and haunt some other House.

 

Impeachment Beseechment

I know that lots of folks on our side want to hold off the impeachment vote to give more Dems a chance to back away from it but not me.  Please, get this side show over with.  It’s just too boring.  Nobody is being convinced of anything and it is taking up space that could be devoted to really important things like sexbots and UFOs.  But most importantly it will allow Adam Schiff to get back to his true role in life, sitting in trees and picking fleas out of his fur.  So come on Dems, please hurry up.  I want to enjoy my Christmas vacation without having to see that face again.

 

So When a Democrat Congressman in New Jersey Switches Parties …

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/474587-anti-impeachment-democrat-poised-to-switch-parties-reports

Does that mean a Democrat who won a seat in 2018 in a red state in a district that Donald Trump won by thirty points  may be a little nervous about voting for his impeachment.  I guess they have to choose between pissing off Pelosi or being booted out of office by your constituents.  Looking at those choices, changing parties looks like the winning move.

 

Michael Anton Analyzes the Impeachment Strategy and Summarizes the Possible Outcomes

In his sixty two hundred (!) word essay “The Empire Strikes Back” Michael Anton narrates the Deep State and Democrat controlled Media’s Ukraine-gate maneuver and how it’s supposed to justify impeachment and removal of President Trump.  Suffice it to say it is ponderous to read through the machinations they are going through to justify their treason and depressing to realize what nakedly illegal practices of their own they are trying to protect with the smokescreen of impeachment.  The Deep State and the Elites feed from the trough of federal spending that is funneled to lawless countries like the Ukraine.

I won’t attempt to even summarize his essay.  If you have an interest in these matters, which I do, you might read it.  But I’d like to quote some ideas from his conclusion.  Anton thinks that it is unlikely that even the craven Senate Republicans would be stupid enough to convict the President.  But if they did, he had this to say about the consequences:

“And it might. It worked against Nixon. It almost worked against Reagan. But let’s be clear: if it works this time, there are only three possible outcomes:

First, deplorable-Americans will meekly accept President Trump’s removal, in which case the country as a self-governing republic will be finished; the elite coup will have succeeded, their grip on power cemented. With all due respect to the vice president, this is not the way—these are not the people on the backs of whom—he should wish to enter the Oval Office. And I am confident he will not.

Second, deplorable-Americans will revolt at the ballot box and punish the elites in a series of elections that put in power serious statesmen intent on rooting out corruption and reestablishing democratic accountability.

Or, third, deplorable-Americans’ attempt to set their government aright via ballots will not avail, as it has not so often in the past; they will realize that it has not, conclude that it never will, and resolve by any means necessary to get out from under the thumbs of people who so obviously hate them and wish to rule them without their consent.”

That third outcome is the Dissident Right’s refrain, “we can’t vote our way out of this.”

And as to the outcome for the Senate Republicans if they did convict the President:

“Oh, and let’s also be clear about something else: if the Republicans “collude” with this sham and force the removal of a president whose approval rating within his party hovers north of 90%, and whose voters scarcely understand—much less agree with—the “case” against him, they will destroy the party forever. I don’t often make predictions, because I’m not good at it, but this one is easy. They will have removed all doubt that they are anything but ruling class apparatchiks, adjuncts, and flunkies of the administrative state from which they take orders.

And let none of them dare gaslight us with the trite dismissal that Trump’s removal would not overturn the 2016 election results because the president’s replacement was also elected. Trump’s intraparty enemies hate him, and wish to be rid of him, precisely because he is not one of them, because he stands for, and represents, something fundamentally different. Getting rid of him is, for them, a way to get back to business as usual. But there is no going back. A few of them in safely anti-Trump states or districts may survive the president’s removal but the vast majority will not. A new party—a Trumpian populist-nationalist party—will arise from the Republican Party’s ashes. More blue-collar in economic orientation and less in hock to coastal and financial elites, it will do a better job of attracting Democrats and independents—possibly pointing the way to the first real national majority coalition since the Reagan era. And that new party will not welcome the traitors, who will have to make do with contributorships on CNN and MSNBC. Assuming any slots are available.”

This assessment seems quite likely.  And the Senator I’d most enjoy seeing bounced out of his seat is Mitt Romney.  I would hope that Utah would enact a recall law specifically to remove him if he were stupid enough to aid in the removal of a popular president.  In fact, even if the conviction is unsuccessful, if Romney votes for it, I hope the people of his state remove him for that alone.

Anton worked for the Trump White House in addition to being an academic.  He is almost uniquely positioned to discuss the reality of our present situation.  What I find interesting is that even a mainstream and serious commentator such as Anton is now pointing to the apocalyptic realities of what would happen if the Uni-party Establishment decides they can overturn the 2016 election results by removing a popular president.  What that tells me is that the intelligentsia on the actual right has reached the same boiling point as the rest of us.  When a policy wonk joins the Deplorables it won’t be long before the pitchforks and the torches start showing up on the scene.

 

 

Is This Really It?

Don’t the Democrats have more than this for their Impeachment Circus?  Can they keep this going for more than a week?  If not, I think they’re going to be upstaged by whatever balloon mishaps occur during the Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade.  In the classic Seinfeld episode, I believe it was Woody the Woodpecker who suffered a puncture wound and deflated on top of Elaine’s boss Mr Pitt.  I’m sure at this point Woody has been retired in favor of some kind of trans-gender super hero but either way Pelosi et alia are going to have to come up with some kind of show stopper.  Perhaps they can perform a séance and have the ghost of Jeffrey Epstein accuse President Trump of strangling him in his New York jail cell.

Honestly, the only thing I can guess is that the DNC is so desperate for Creepy Uncle Joe to be the candidate that they had to do something crazy like this to stop the investigation into Hunter’s pathetic graft expedition in the Ukraine.  And I don’t see how this helps.  If there is anyone on the planet at this point unaware that Joe used his position to force a foreign government to cancel an investigation of his son’s shakedown activities it could only be among coma victims.

The good thing about this feckless farce is that it gives the Republicans the perfect center piece around which to campaign against them.  If they had any wit about them at all, they would seize on this as the embodiment of an infantile and malign force that possesses no positive qualities and is only meant to act as a brake (resistance) to an actual agenda.  Pushing for a border wall in light of the Cartels’ victory over the Mexican Army would be a winning strategy.

But I have little if any faith in the Republicans at this point.  They are only slightly less useless than Pelosi and her crew.  At the rate that the Republicans are retiring from the House it may soon be a strictly Democrat establishment.  It’s a pity.  It seems as if President Trump will be forced to do the whole thing by himself.

Well I’m actually very busy getting work done so that I can have some time off around Thanksgiving and Christmas.  I’m impatiently waiting on Horowitz’s report and the subsequent indictments by Barr’s staff but I haven’t the patience or interest in reading any of the half-witted descriptions by the desperate MSM propagandists of the side show that Schiff and Pelosi are attempting to sell.

So, unless Pelosi is going to do a geriatric strip tease or Schiff is prepared to perform an Aztec sacrificial slaughter on the steps of the Capitol, I’m going to have to decline paying any further notice to this sad non-spectacle.

But bring on the next crazy show by all means.  This one isn’t funny enough.  In fact, I think I’ll re-watch the Seinfeld episode.  Watching Mr. Pitt struggling with the deflating Woody the Woodpecker balloon was way funnier than this.  Ha-ha-ha-ha-ha.

 

 

Impeachment: The Last Bullet in the Gun

The Impeachment of the President of the United States was an unheard-of idea for most of the first century of the country’s existence.  It took the Civil War and its partisan aftermath to produce the first impeachment and even then, President Andrew Johnson was acquitted.  When over a hundred years later Richard Nixon was threatened with impeachment, he became the first president to resign his office rather than subject the nation to such a trauma.  But twenty-five years later the standards of the country had eroded sufficiently that not only did Bill Clinton refuse to resign but he was actually acquitted of perjury and obstruction charges despite documentary and physical evidence to the contrary.  Now twenty years of polarization past that point it seems probable that a politically motivated impeachment charge by the Democrats against a popular Republican president might actually be a net positive for the president.

For the whole period of Donald Trump’s presidency and even before his inauguration, various Democrat officials and almost all of the Media have bandied about the impeachment threat.  When the Mueller investigation collapsed there was a short respite when even the Democrat leaders admitted that impeachment was no longer an option.

But with the recent Ukraine events Nancy Pelosi was hounded by the younger members of the Democrat caucus to announce that she has initiated a formal impeachment action.  Wow, that sounds serious!  But wait.  “She cannot unilaterally decide we’re in an impeachment inquiry.  What she said today makes no difference about what’s been going on,” House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy said after Pelosi’s announcement.”  In other words, in order for an actual impeachment investigation to be started the full House has to vote on and approve it and Pelosi has refused to bring one to the floor.   So, what is actually going on here?

Despite what AOC’s Goon Squad would have you believe, impeaching President Trump on spurious charges would most likely lose Nancy Pelosi the House Democrat Majority and her Speaker’s chair after the 2020 election.  And Pelosi knows that.  In addition, the chance of the Senate convicting the President is effectively zero.  Twenty republican senators would have to join the democrats for the necessary two thirds majority and that’s even assuming that senators like Joe Manchin of West Virginia would vote for something so unpopular with their constituencies.  Then, what is the strategy here?

My interpretation of the situation is that Democrats have to appear to be holding the President accountable for investigating members of the Obama administration that are known to have been involved in influence peddling.  That includes, at least, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton and John Kerry.  Actually, allowing an investigation of these sacred cows of the Democrat establishment risks exposing levels of corruption that would certainly upend the American political order.

But they are trying to use the threat of impeachment only.  Because once they actually impeach him and he is acquitted by the Senate then Congress is basically a spent force.  They will have done their worst and the last bullet will have been fired.  At that point his continued existence as president will be a constant reminder to them and the rest of the country of their impotence.  All of their posturing and rhetoric will seem hollow and ridiculous.  And ridiculous is a very bad thing for influence peddlers.

What is difficult for me to determine is exactly what the President’s strategy is here.  Is he trying to force an impeachment or is it just collateral to his desire to punish the cabal that tried to overturn his election?  I think either one of those two scenarios is possible.  Personally, I hope he is working to expose the criminal conspiracy that exists against him.  Nothing would make me happier than hearing that Comey, McCabe, Brennan and Clapper were indicted and awaiting trial for treason.  The damage these people have done to the country is hard to overestimate.

But is it possible that President Trump is trying to get himself impeached?  It seems, at first glance, unthinkable.  Why would a president risk removal from office no matter how unlikely?  And if running for re-election wouldn’t he worry that the impeachment stigma would destroy his electability?  Maybe not.

The United States has become almost completely polarized.  The Left/Right divide has become a chasm both wide and deep.  Like the opposite sides of the Grand Canyon each can see the other from a vast distance with the space between a desolate no-man’s land.  So, impeachment will only serve to seal the fate of any Democrats still serving office in Red areas of the country and alternatively for Republicans in Blue areas.  It will stoke the resentment of partisans on both sides of the divide and fit in with each side’s narrative.  But being acquitted by the Senate will uplift the spirits of the Right and depress those of the Left.  In that sense it would be a net positive for the President’s side and may have been calculated by the political experts as a winning strategy.  It seems bizarre but I concede it is possible.

How does one decide which of these two situations is the actual one?  You probably can’t do it definitively but I guess one sign would be whether President Trump provides further excuses for the House to investigate him.  Let’s say he calls up the British Prime Minister and asks for him to investigate any links between the Clinton campaign and the Steele Dossier.  With the almost endless leaks coming out of the intelligence agencies we’d be hearing about it before the phone call ended.  Though, even that would still leave open the possibility that the President was more interested in getting to the bottom of the coup.  But at the very least it would mean that he was unworried about impeachment.

And honestly it appears that there is no reason to fear impeachment any more.  Not even the Media will pretend there is any objectivity toward President Trump.  In fact, they are proud to say they are abandoning evenhandedness to do whatever it takes to destroy his presidency.  So, there is no danger of any of the President’s voters believing anything the Media or the Democrats say.

So here we are in the brave new world where a Republican President isn’t afraid of impeachment but the Democrat Speaker of the House is.  Who knows, maybe Pelosi will back down sometime in the next few weeks.  I’m no longer surprised by anything that happens in our politics.  The Democrats stopped following the rules half a century ago and we finally have a man who can fight fire with fire.  This wild ride that we’ve been on since Donald Trump entered the political arena a few years ago promises to upend all the remaining stupidities that the hapless Republican establishment figures put up with in the past.  Here’s hoping that in 2021 President Trump has a reliable Republican congress, a swamp drained of all Deep State saboteurs and a robustly conservative Supreme Court to move us forward into a more hopeful future.