{"id":11995,"date":"2020-09-19T22:40:48","date_gmt":"2020-09-20T02:40:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/?p=11995"},"modified":"2020-09-19T22:40:48","modified_gmt":"2020-09-20T02:40:48","slug":"my-thoughts-on-the-various-possible-outcomes-of-the-upcoming-election","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/index.php\/2020\/09\/19\/my-thoughts-on-the-various-possible-outcomes-of-the-upcoming-election\/","title":{"rendered":"My Thoughts on the Various Possible Outcomes of the Upcoming Election"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>First item, full disclosure, I believe President Trump will win the election decisively enough that even the massive fraud the Democrats plan won\u2019t be enough to change the result.\u00a0 So that\u2019s my prediction.\u00a0 But I am realistic enough to know that I don\u2019t have all the answers.<\/p>\n<p>Second item, full disclosure, there is almost no result that could occur that will plunge me into despair.\u00a0 When Barack Obama was elected, I was devastated to think that the American people would allow cultural Marxism to take over the government voluntarily.\u00a0 Since then I have become a lot less naive about how this country is broken up politically.\u00a0 I\u2019ve also come to terms with how unreliable even \u201cconservative Republicans\u201d are at respecting the agenda of their constituency.\u00a0 So even outcomes that put the Democrats fully in charge of all branches of government at both the state and national level will not drive me to desperation.\u00a0 So here are some thought experiments on possible outcomes and their effects on the country and my reaction to them.<\/p>\n<p>What are the possible outcomes, broadly speaking? There are five categories that the results break down into.\u00a0 I\u2019ll start with the easiest cases and work my way up from there.\u00a0 The two most common outcomes are either the Democrat clearly wins or the Republican clearly wins.\u00a0 Those are the outcomes that will have the least chance for irregular actions by the candidates or their proxies.\u00a0 Nothing much needs to be said about how those successions are performed because they are the routine occurrences that we see every four or eight years in our country.<\/p>\n<p>The next pair of outcomes is one or the other of the two candidates wins but by a very small margin in one or more states and the two parties litigate the results in the state and federal courts.\u00a0 This is the outcome we saw in 2000 between George W. Bush and Al Gore over the Florida count.\u00a0 That time it went to the Supreme Court which decided that allowing local jurisdictions to tamper with the ballots was an unacceptable process.\u00a0 Twenty years ago, this was a much less polarized country and the appearance of propriety was important even to the Democrats back then.\u00a0 If this election gets hauled into the courts and ballots are counted by political hacks no one is going to be satisfied that an honest count is being performed.\u00a0 This will surely increase the level of polarization to positively stratospheric heights and surely will push us into uglier and uglier collisions for the foreseeable future.\u00a0 In these two cases whichever party wins the election the new president will effectively have half the country dead set against him.<\/p>\n<p>And then there is the fifth outcome.\u00a0 In this scenario a close election results in a breakdown of the system.\u00a0 Both sides contend that they won and the impasse moves into an insurrection in which both sides use extra-legal actions to seize power in Washington and begin some level of armed conflict.\u00a0 This one is a complete mystery.\u00a0 We\u2019ve never seen this happen and it could be as bad as it gets.\u00a0 Let\u2019s not forget that the nuclear arsenal is out there and our enemies would take advantage of a civil conflict to damage us in any way they think they can.<\/p>\n<p>Now let\u2019s look at my reaction to each of these outcomes.<\/p>\n<p>In outcome one President Trump wins a clear victory.\u00a0 I celebrate by spending the holidays listening endlessly to leftists crying and screaming that the world has come to an end.\u00a0 Life goes on and there is hope for improvement.<\/p>\n<p>In outcome two Biden wins a clear victory.\u00a0 I start living life as independently of the established governmental controls as I am able.<\/p>\n<p>In outcome three President Trump wins a bitterly contested victory.\u00a0 I celebrate by spending the holidays listening endlessly to leftists crying and screaming that the world has come to an end.\u00a0 I anticipate a future breach between the red and blue states and begin making plans to find a safe haven.<\/p>\n<p>In outcome four Biden wins a bitterly contested victory.\u00a0 I anticipate a future breach between the red and blue states and begin making plans to find a safe haven.<\/p>\n<p>In outcome five I try to figure out the safest place in the country to avoid my family being overrun by a war.<\/p>\n<p>As you can see, I think the only outcome that lets me continue a normal life is a decisive victory by President Trump.\u00a0 Anything else indicates a country that will no longer operate the way it was supposed to.\u00a0 And because a virtual insurrection is already occurring, I can anticipate that things will get much worse after any of the other scenarios mentioned.<\/p>\n<p>But I don\u2019t see any reason to despair.\u00a0 Resolution of the present impasse is the inevitable end of this struggle.\u00a0 Trying to avoid it will simply allow the Left to take the initiative to settle it on their own terms.\u00a0 This has to happen so let it happen.<\/p>\n<p>Just use your head.\u00a0 Don\u2019t paint a target on yourself and be aware of the people around you and of their loyalties.\u00a0 Be prepared to help and protect your family and friends during times of unrest and actual danger.\u00a0 If something very serious is anticipated be prepared to get away to a safe haven on very short notice.\u00a0 Don\u2019t disbelieve your own eyes and ears.\u00a0 When normal patterns break down anomalous behavior is to be expected.\u00a0 Have emergency supplies and plans.<\/p>\n<p>And relax, don\u2019t panic, you\u2019ll get through this.\u00a0 We are not opposed by geniuses.\u00a0 Just dishonest men.\u00a0 Know your enemy and you can avoid the harm they intend you.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>First item, full disclosure, I believe President Trump will win the election decisively enough that even the massive fraud the Democrats plan won\u2019t be enough<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,818],"tags":[1799,412,2520],"class_list":["post-11995","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-current-events","category-ocf","tag-2020-election","tag-civil-strife","tag-red-state-blue-state"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.4 - 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