{"id":17534,"date":"2022-01-27T05:00:51","date_gmt":"2022-01-27T10:00:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/?p=17534"},"modified":"2022-01-26T20:34:18","modified_gmt":"2022-01-27T01:34:18","slug":"some-thoughts-on-what-to-expect-in-the-mid-terms-and-the-middle-term","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/index.php\/2022\/01\/27\/some-thoughts-on-what-to-expect-in-the-mid-terms-and-the-middle-term\/","title":{"rendered":"Some Thoughts on What to Expect in the Mid-Terms and the Middle Term"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The short term of our world is becoming clearer.\u00a0 COVID is limping off, stage left, along with what\u2019s left of Dementia Joe\u2019s credibility.\u00a0 Inflation is taking center stage and appears to be finishing off what\u2019s left of the Democrats\u2019 legislative agenda and their hopes of holding onto the House and possibly the Senate.\u00a0 Putin and Xi are waiting in the wings to slap Dopey Joe around and strip the last vestiges of his foreign policy and military reputation.\u00a0 In a very few weeks the Democratic Congress will scatter to the wind doing their utmost to try to save their jobs.\u00a0 In the short-term, wreckage and wrath are swirling around Washington.\u00a0 And experience says there\u2019s just about nothing that Biden can do to make things any better this year.\u00a0 The Mid-Terms will be a rout for the Democrats.\u00a0 They\u2019ll lose 40+ seats in the House and odds are they\u2019ll lose three or four seats in the Senate and thereby lose both Houses to the Stupid Party.<\/p>\n<p>What I wanted to talk about is where do we go from there?\u00a0 Let\u2019s take the best case.\u00a0 The Republicans take the House decisively and end up ahead in the Senate 54 \/46.\u00a0 That ends any chance for Biden\u2019s radical agenda, period.\u00a0 And it also allows the stoppage of more Democrat federal judges.\u00a0 McConnell did that last time too and it was effective.\u00a0 But now the Republicans own the Congress and they take the blame whenever Biden can convince the stupid public that something the Congress should legislate doesn\u2019t happen.\u00a0 It\u2019ll be unemployment benefits or extending the federal budget or something equally dumb.\u00a0 So slowly over time they\u2019ll take damage and look bad.\u00a0 This is the inevitable progression.\u00a0 Now what would be different and interesting is if the House takes the initiative to investigate and impeach Biden over the content of Hunter Biden\u2019s laptop.\u00a0 Now that might be exciting. \u00a0Forcing Hunter to testify and exposing the tawdry details of the Biden crime family sounds like the perfect way to tar the Democrats with a very dirty brush.\u00a0 Do I think the Stupid Party has the smarts to do this?\u00a0 My guess, probably not.<\/p>\n<p>Now, there is a lot going on besides Congress.\u00a0 The Supreme Court has been very active of late and has been touching on substantive issues.\u00a0 The abortion decision coming in the fall is huge and the 2<sup>nd<\/sup> amendment and affirmative action cases are even bigger.\u00a0 These cases could have enormous consequences in the real world.\u00a0 And in fact, the abortion case can itself be the only event that could save the Democrats from losing the House and Senate.\u00a0 If the Court were to rule Roe v. Wade unconstitutional it could galvanize women to vote for the Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>Then there\u2019s the Red States.\u00a0 Florida and to a lesser extent Texas and a few other states have begun resisting the bullying by the feds.\u00a0 There has even been talk of coordination across states to strengthen the resistance.\u00a0 Things like cracking down on illegal aliens and protecting citizens\u2019 first and second amendment rights are at the top of this agenda.\u00a0 But it could spread to other aspects of life.\u00a0 It might involve industrial policy and even educational reform.\u00a0 We\u2019ve seen a little bit of that in Virginia where a parents\u2019 revolt against the teachers catapulted Youngkin into the governor\u2019s mansion.<\/p>\n<p>I see these things going on in parallel with the jockeying for position for the 2024 Republican Presidential Primary.\u00a0 DeSantis and Trump are going to have to either broker an agreement or go to war with each other.\u00a0 I prefer an agreement.\u00a0 Even if Trump gets the nomination, he\u2019s a one term president so he needs DeSantis to be his successor.\u00a0 They should obviously form a ticket.\u00a0 Now how soon this plays out depends on a bunch of things.\u00a0 If the Republicans win the House, then all the nonsense about the January 6<sup>th<\/sup> stuff ends and we\u2019ll start to see real campaigning happening early in 2023.<\/p>\n<p>And all of this stuff is boilerplate.\u00a0 It\u2019s already written in stone.\u00a0 What I\u2019m interested in knowing is the wild card.\u00a0 Will Putin annex the Ukraine?\u00a0 Will one of the Red States go to war with the feds in a really spectacular fashion?\u00a0 Will the feds blink?\u00a0 Will the Supreme Court outlaw affirmative action?\u00a0 Now, these are things that could change the world in a big way.\u00a0 But in each case it still will take a courageous man to seize the opportunity presented and push things to a new reality.\u00a0 And that\u2019s the real wild card, the appearance of a leader. brave smart<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The short term of our world is becoming clearer.\u00a0 COVID is limping off, stage left, along with what\u2019s left of Dementia Joe\u2019s credibility.\u00a0 Inflation is<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[3485,3343,971],"class_list":["post-17534","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-current-events","tag-3485","tag-2022-elections","tag-politics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.4 - 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