{"id":20457,"date":"2022-09-20T21:26:52","date_gmt":"2022-09-21T01:26:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/?p=20457"},"modified":"2022-09-20T21:29:56","modified_gmt":"2022-09-21T01:29:56","slug":"handicapping-november-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/index.php\/2022\/09\/20\/handicapping-november-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Handicapping November 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Of late I\u2019ve stated that the coming November elections will be a clear indicator of how much hope there remains for the American political system.\u00a0 My often-repeated basis for this statement is that the various progressive organizations have totally dropped the mask and exposed their disregard for all legitimate behavior.\u00a0 And by this, I mean the activities of the last two or three years during which we were exposed to complete loss of freedom during the COVID lockdowns, the collusion between the federal government and the tech companies to silence and punish dissenting opinions, the selective enforcement of laws by the Justice Department.\u00a0 In addition, with the outbreak of stagflation history informs us that the party in power is always punished severely by the electorate.<\/p>\n<p>Based on this situation we find ourselves in, I would assume that if the American electoral process is still functioning, the Democrats would be handed strong losses in both the House and Senate.\u00a0 Currently the polls indicate that the Republicans will reclaim the House with a ten to twenty seat majority.\u00a0 The Senate is much closer with current estimates indicating that the Republicans will take two seats and have a slim majority.\u00a0 To my mind that is hardly the outcome to be expected when every indicator of government failure is flashing bright red.\u00a0 To my mind this indicates that the system has stopped working.<\/p>\n<p>But to be fair I think I should define what I think would be a functioning result of the political system in these mid-terms.\u00a0 As far as absolute numbers I\u2019d say that the House would have to give the Republicans a forty-seat majority.\u00a0 And the Senate wouldn\u2019t provide that lop-sided a change but I would expect to see all the purple state contests go to the Republicans.\u00a0 That would be Arizona, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Georgia and Nevada.\u00a0 In addition, I\u2019d expect to see a couple of governors of blue states getting ejected.\u00a0 Specifically Wisconsin and Michigan should be looking to boot out their governors.<\/p>\n<p>So that\u2019s my definition of a healthy American electoral response to the dysfunction and malfeasance that has been on display by the Democrats in the last few years.\u00a0 If something resembling this response occurs, I will be heartily encouraged that maybe we can vote our way out of this.\u00a0 Then it will be up to these politicians to use the people\u2019s mandate to begin holding Biden and company accountable for their reckless misuse of our government.\u00a0 I\u2019d expect investigations to conclude with an impeachment of at least Biden.\u00a0 Of course, we won\u2019t have the votes in the Senate to convict him but it will show responsibility on the part of the House.\u00a0 And it will set the stage for replacing Biden in 2024 with a Republican (Donald Trump) who intends to repair the damage.<\/p>\n<p>But if we end up with the ten-seat majority in the House and a one or two seat majority in the Senate I\u2019ll consider that proof that the United States is no longer able to change course in response to disaster.\u00a0 Whether this is the result of widespread voter fraud or due to a majority of the electorate having been bought off by the promise of free stuff really doesn\u2019t matter.\u00a0 The outcome will be the same.\u00a0 Democrat control of the United States federal government will be assured.<\/p>\n<p>And if that\u2019s the case I will spend my time looking for a Plan B.\u00a0 whether that\u2019s a red state or a different country depends on how the red states stand up to the feds.\u00a0 There have been some positive signs in Florida and Texas.\u00a0 Maybe they\u2019ll move forward with these actions and establish their states as sanctuaries for freedom loving Americans.\u00a0 Maybe they\u2019ll expand this by joining with neighboring states to form a freedom zone within the United States.\u00a0 It could be a very large zone.<\/p>\n<p>But that\u2019s a story for the future, after November.\u00a0 First things first.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Of late I\u2019ve stated that the coming November elections will be a clear indicator of how much hope there remains for the American political system.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[3343,3741,1942],"class_list":["post-20457","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-current-events","tag-2022-elections","tag-wagtvowoot","tag-we-arent-going-to-vote-our-way-out-of-this"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Handicapping November 2022 - Orion&#039;s Cold Fire<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/index.php\/2022\/09\/20\/handicapping-november-2022\/\" 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