{"id":31765,"date":"2025-01-01T05:00:02","date_gmt":"2025-01-01T10:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/?p=31765"},"modified":"2024-12-31T17:34:37","modified_gmt":"2024-12-31T22:34:37","slug":"eeny-meeny-chilly-beany-the-spirits-are-about-to-speak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/index.php\/2025\/01\/01\/eeny-meeny-chilly-beany-the-spirits-are-about-to-speak\/","title":{"rendered":"Eeny Meeny Chilly Beany, the Spirits are About to Speak"},"content":{"rendered":"

[It does not pay a prophet to be too specific. \u00a0\u2013 \u00a0L. Sprague de Camp]<\/strong><\/p>\n

Only a great fool would claim to know in advance how 2025 will end.\u00a0 Everything from nuclear Armageddon to the return of the Prince of Peace is definitely on the table.\u00a0 My radius of likely outcomes is slightly narrower (at least on the upside).\u00a0 I could easily imagine things going very wrong between the United States and Russia or China or Iran in the foreseeable future.\u00a0 And by wrong I don\u2019t necessarily mean a full nuclear exchange with either of the first two of those nations.\u00a0 There is plenty of room for low level violence and sabotage that could cause our lives to be much worse.\u00a0 For instance, an aircraft carrier is becoming an increasingly vulnerable target to any number of new threats.\u00a0 If a carrier were badly damaged or even sunk it might not lead to a nuclear exchange but it would cause a cascade of actions that will threaten war.<\/p>\n

But let\u2019s put war aside for a moment.\u00a0 At least global war.\u00a0 Let\u2019s look at what will be going on in North America.\u00a0 Trump intends to close the borders.\u00a0 And that will both include Mexico and Canada.\u00a0 This will change the way things are done in several aspects of life.\u00a0 It will impact migration (obviously) but it will also impact industry.\u00a0 A lot of stuff is built in Mexico and Canada.\u00a0 The transportation of these products will be impacted.\u00a0 And illegal importation (drugs, sex slaves) will also be impacted.\u00a0 The Mexican and other gangs that control these illicit trades will have to be confronted head on in what will amount to a war on the southern border.\u00a0 This alone could be the toughest thing Donald Trump will be faced with during his presidency.\u00a0 He may have to live in a bunker due to the military capability of these gangs.\u00a0 It\u2019s a cinch their snipers are a lot more accurate than the ones the CIA found during the 2024 election.\u00a0 Anyway, if he\u2019s serious he\u2019ll have his hands full with this action.<\/p>\n

As for the economy, well, I think by default things will get somewhat better.\u00a0 Just seeing the Greens pushed out of the White House will encourage the petroleum industry to improve the energy situation in the United States.\u00a0 Who knows, maybe gasoline will fall below two dollars again.\u00a0 And if that happens it will have a knock-on effect on the rest of the economy as transportation costs fall and with it the price of most commodities.\u00a0 Now I wouldn\u2019t exaggerate the extent of this.\u00a0 Prices don\u2019t usually fall except during a recession.\u00a0 But if they stop going up it will begin to stanch the economic bleeding of the middle class.<\/p>\n

Beyond that Trump can do a lot to encourage corporate on-shoring of manufacturing.\u00a0 Tariffs can be of two varieties.\u00a0 You can raise tariffs on the products of foreign companies or you can put tariffs on products that are manufactured outside of this country regardless of the nationality of the company that owns the factory.\u00a0 This will encourage companies (foreign or domestic) to manufacture here the products they want to sell here.\u00a0 Personally, if a Toyota car is built in Georgetown, Kentucky I consider it more American than a GM car built in Mexico or Canada.\u00a0 So, will any of this happen?\u00a0 Possibly not in 2025.<\/p>\n

And finally, will he drain the swamp in 2025?\u00a0 Well, not completely but he does want to put Kash Patel in charge of the FBI.\u00a0 I read that they had him under investigation.\u00a0 I don\u2019t know much more about him than what I\u2019ve read but wouldn\u2019t it be amusing if it turns out he\u2019s a vindictive bastard who took his own targeting personally and wanted a lot of payback.\u00a0 I think there could be a lot of very amusing things going on in Washington this year.\u00a0 And from my point of view that\u2019s worth something in and of itself.<\/p>\n

So those are just some hints at what might be going on.\u00a0 Let\u2019s hope it\u2019s more swamp draining and less Armageddon but whatever else it\u2019s going to be very busy and very exciting.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

[It does not pay a prophet to be too specific. \u00a0\u2013 \u00a0L. Sprague de Camp] Only a great fool would claim to know in advance<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,6],"tags":[4722,1306,99,16],"class_list":["post-31765","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-current-events","category-trump","tag-4722","tag-my-predictions","tag-new-year","tag-trump"],"yoast_head":"\nEeny Meeny Chilly Beany, the Spirits are About to Speak - Orion's Cold Fire<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/index.php\/2025\/01\/01\/eeny-meeny-chilly-beany-the-spirits-are-about-to-speak\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Eeny Meeny Chilly Beany, the Spirits are About to Speak - Orion's Cold Fire\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"[It does not pay a prophet to be too specific. \u00a0\u2013 \u00a0L. 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