{"id":32532,"date":"2025-03-10T05:00:37","date_gmt":"2025-03-10T09:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/?p=32532"},"modified":"2025-03-09T21:42:45","modified_gmt":"2025-03-10T01:42:45","slug":"kursk-and-general-thoughts-on-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/10\/kursk-and-general-thoughts-on-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"Kursk and General Thoughts on Ukraine"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"BREAKING: Russian forces go inside gas pipeline to strike Ukraine | LiveNOW from FOX\" width=\"783\" height=\"440\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/0ofjDASXAXs?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Kursk and General Thoughts on Ukraine<\/p>\n<p>The story I heard was that the Russians used a natural gas pipeline to move hundreds of troops several miles behind the Ukrainian lines and the panic this caused in several locations within the Ukrainian Kursk front has disrupted the situation and according to some reports is leading to a rout.<\/p>\n<p>It will take a day or two before reports can be confirmed.\u00a0 But this may be the beginning of an overall shift in the battlefield situation.\u00a0 Up until now the words, meatgrinder, attrition and horrendously slow seemed to be the best way to describe the war.\u00a0 Russia has been making steady but glacially slow progress in capturing the four provinces they&#8217;ve declared their own.<\/p>\n<p>The exception was Ukraine&#8217;s lightning strike into Russia&#8217;s Kursk region that seemed to catch Moscow off balance before stalling out.\u00a0 Zelensky had hoped that Kursk could be used as a bargaining chip in eventual negotiations with Russia.\u00a0 But this new situation may be Russia&#8217;s determination to put an end to the Kursk front.<\/p>\n<p>If Ukraine retreats from Kursk, I think it might signal a broader collapse of Ukrainian military resolve.\u00a0 But as I said above it&#8217;s too soon to know if some of these reports are Russian bravado over their pipeline strategy.<\/p>\n<p>But even regardless of the impact of this attack it almost surely seems the Russians have the wherewithal to eventually wear down the Ukrainian army into submission.\u00a0 These are two stubborn enemies and the attrition is mutually destructive.\u00a0 All Russia has as advantage, is size.\u00a0 As I&#8217;ve said Russia will lose two million men and Ukraine will lose one million and Russia will win.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s victory?<\/p>\n<p>From my point of view, Trump will not arbitrate this negotiation.\u00a0 At best he is forcing the Ukrainians to the bargaining table by refusing continued military aid.<\/p>\n<p>But he has no special insight into the psychology of these two closely related peoples.\u00a0 This is very, very close to a civil war.\u00a0 And considering how many Russians live in Ukraine it&#8217;s even more personal than that.\u00a0 The only ones who might be able to negotiate an early end to this war are Vladimir Putin and whoever the Ukrainians pick as their leader.\u00a0 Is that Zelensky?\u00a0 I doubt it, but it\u2019s possible.\u00a0 The reason I doubt it is that Zelensky has rejected much better Russian deals in the past and vowed that he would force Russia out of all Ukrainian lands including Crimea.\u00a0 I think he would fear for his own safety if he came back with a worse deal that cedes the lands Russia demands.\u00a0 But whoever it is I believe that the sooner they start talking the better, for Ukraine.\u00a0 Every day that passes more Russians die and more Ukrainian land passes into Russian control.\u00a0 Eventually Russia will win on the battle field everything it currently wants through negotiation.\u00a0 However, as the Russian casualties continue to mount so will their demands.\u00a0 Eventually it might come to include all Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p>And not all the blame goes to Russia and Ukraine.\u00a0 Joe Biden and Boris Johnson convinced Zelensky that the Turkish peace talks weren\u2019t as good as what they would get with the help of western weapons and intelligence aid.\u00a0 This terrible advice was a siren song that seduced the Ukrainians into thinking we knew what we were talking about.\u00a0 That was a crime.\u00a0 Because we were stupid or maybe we didn\u2019t care and just wanted to see Russia damaged even if it meant killing every last Ukrainian.\u00a0 Because we knew or should have known that the Russians weren\u2019t going to let Ukrainians mistreat the Russians living in Ukraine.\u00a0 They\u2019ve been living there for hundreds of years.\u00a0 It\u2019s as if California somehow became part of Mexico again and then the Mexicans started to abuse the Americans living there.\u00a0 Who thinks that the United States would just stand by while our countrymen were abused and killed.\u00a0 We would do just exactly what the Russians are doing right now.<\/p>\n<p>So that\u2019s my thought.\u00a0 Ukrainians and Russians know the psychology of their relationship better than anyone else.\u00a0 The sooner those two sides sit down at the negotiating table the sooner the killing can stop.\u00a0 Hopefully for good.\u00a0 Because it\u2019s not as if they\u2019re going to somehow move farther apart.\u00a0 They better learn how to be neighbors of some sort.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Kursk and General Thoughts on Ukraine The story I heard was that the Russians used a natural gas pipeline to move hundreds of troops<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,6],"tags":[3519,3107,16,3568,3942],"class_list":["post-32532","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-current-events","category-trump","tag-failed-biden-presidency","tag-russia","tag-trump","tag-ukraine","tag-ukraine-war"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Kursk and General Thoughts on Ukraine - Orion&#039;s Cold Fire<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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