{"id":3512,"date":"2018-07-05T22:06:27","date_gmt":"2018-07-06T02:06:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/?p=3512"},"modified":"2018-07-05T22:23:54","modified_gmt":"2018-07-06T02:23:54","slug":"counting-my-chickens-before-theyre-hatched","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/index.php\/2018\/07\/05\/counting-my-chickens-before-theyre-hatched\/","title":{"rendered":"Counting My Chickens Before They\u2019re Hatched"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>An enormous amount of digital ink has been spilled in the last week or so about the coming Supreme Court vacancy and who might fill it and how that will play out.\u00a0 And these are truly momentous questions involving nuances of political strategy that could change the balance of the Senate political make-up.\u00a0 In other words, really hot stuff and absolutely chock full of fat-soluble vitamins.<\/p>\n<p>But let\u2019s jump the gun and talk about some really exciting things.\u00a0 Let\u2019s assume for the sake of argument that the Senate manages to keep their act together and approve an actual conservative replacement for Anthony Kennedy.\u00a0 And let\u2019s further assume for the sake of argument that John Roberts isn\u2019t the Manchurian Justice that he seemed to be during the Obamacare deliberation.\u00a0 Then, what are the possible constitutional questions that could allow the new conservative majority to show its quality?\u00a0 Let\u2019s make a list.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>I think the least likely early result of the new majority would be a test of Roe v. Wade. This is the thermonuclear case and I believe it will be a while before SCOTUS tackles something so controversial.\u00a0 After all, energizing the female vote against Republicans during the beginning of a conservative court majority would threaten the ability of a very narrow Senate majority right before the mid-terms.\u00a0 So I think this will wait at least a year or more.<\/li>\n<li>I think the most likely early test of this new majority will be a revisiting of the gay marriage vs. religious freedom question. And here is where I think that the Court will score an easy victory.\u00a0 I would be shocked if the Court does not hand a complete victory to religious tradespeople who object to being forced to participate in homosexual weddings.\u00a0 In my estimation this will be a great morale booster for conservatives and a well-deserved rebuke for the brown shirts in the LGBTQ<\/li>\n<li>Removing the Constitutional mandate for gay marriage would be a very bold move. Seeing that this would directly attack the precedent set by Anthony Kennedy just a few years ago it would represent a refutation of the narrative that has been developing in the Courts for the last twenty five years.\u00a0 But I think it would be the smart thing to do.\u00a0 Unlike Roe v. Wade, the shortness of time that has passed since the precedent was set limits the disruption caused by allowing the individual states to pass their own laws on either side of this issue.\u00a0 The Federal government could even restore the Defense of Marriage Act if it was politically expedient.\u00a0 And there is a real grass roots appeal to allow states that don\u2019t favor the homosexual life style to have their say.<\/li>\n<li>Questions about the Constitutionality of Affirmative Action should be front and center in this Court. Even past verdicts by the Supreme Court when more liberal justices were represented recognized the contradictory nature of a clearly discriminatory practice sanctioned by the United States Government.\u00a0 It is long past the point where reverse discrimination makes even bad sense.\u00a0 And the way the Left has used it to weaponize identity politics against the white population needs to be shut down before it does anymore harm to the unity of the country.<\/li>\n<li>The constitutionality of the Patriot Act and other post 9-11 security over-reaches need to be reconsidered. The recent actions by the FBI and the other intelligence gathering agencies highlights the runaway nature of these intrusions on privacy and an originalist interpretation will go a long way toward re-evaluating the current imbalance favoring law enforcement over due process.<\/li>\n<li>And a final major item that could be adjudicated is the Constitutional protection for homosexuality. That was another constitutional protection discovered by Justice Kennedy.\u00a0 Here is another social question that used to be a state matter until the Supreme Court overstepped.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>So, this merely my speculation.\u00a0 What do you think?\u00a0 What\u2019s your logic?\u00a0 Leave a vote.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>[socialpoll id=&#8221;2510623&#8243;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An enormous amount of digital ink has been spilled in the last week or so about the coming Supreme Court vacancy and who might fill<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[1155,683,1157,1156,1174,576],"class_list":["post-3512","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-current-events","tag-abortion","tag-affirmative-action","tag-gay-marriage","tag-gay-rights","tag-patriot-act","tag-scotus"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.4 - 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