{"id":5207,"date":"2018-11-18T13:41:43","date_gmt":"2018-11-18T18:41:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/?p=5207"},"modified":"2018-11-18T13:41:43","modified_gmt":"2018-11-18T18:41:43","slug":"how-many-possible-paths-forward-are-there","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/index.php\/2018\/11\/18\/how-many-possible-paths-forward-are-there\/","title":{"rendered":"How Many Possible Paths-Forward Are There?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Science fiction writer L. Sprague de Camp has been quoted as having said \u201cIt does not pay a prophet to be too specific.\u201d\u00a0 He was right.\u00a0 Seeing into the future is a fool\u2019s errand.\u00a0 But it is also what we have to do every day of our lives.\u00a0 And the farther into the future you can see the more successful you will be.<\/p>\n<p>Here at Orion\u2019s Cold Fire, prognostication is a scientific endeavor utilizing all the latest technology and the most powerful data crunching systems to make our forecasts the envy of Nostradamus.\u00a0 Sure.<\/p>\n<p>We live on the knife\u2019s edge.\u00a0 Everything we\u2019ve seen in the last few years shows us that the fate of the United States and indeed the world is balanced on a teetering point and the smallest breath of wind has the capacity to save us, at least temporarily, or tumble us into the abyss.\u00a0 Sucks to be us.<\/p>\n<p>Lately I have been trying to figure out what are the most likely directions the future may take.\u00a0 Let me number them here.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The clearest and in fact, the most likely future is the complete victory of progressivism. Under this scenario, political control of the Unites States and also the rest of Western civilization shifts irreversibly to the Left.\u00a0 All the tenets of progressivism, feminism, LGBTQ orthodoxy, anti-white quota legislation and socialist economics prevail.\u00a0 Free speech, gun rights and freedom of religion are abolished.\u00a0 An all-powerful, all pervasive state control settles over the lives of the citizenry.\u00a0 Basically slavery.\u00a0 I think this has a very good likelihood of occurring.\u00a0 And the method will be a gradual tightening of all the policies that will lead to this endpoint.\u00a0 It won\u2019t be necessary to legislate any of these things abruptly.\u00a0 Gradual is better.\u00a0 How\u2019s that for grim?<\/li>\n<li>Another possibility I can think of is a branch off of the first scenario. The progressives win a big election.\u00a0 They start initiating their agenda and someone does something.\u00a0 Let\u2019s call it a revolt.\u00a0 Some kind of resistance that incorporates individuals taking action that becomes a rallying point for local or state government action.\u00a0 This grows into a larger movement and this requires a response by the Federal government.\u00a0 To make this a distinct case from scenario 1, we have to assume that it isn\u2019t suppressed and leads to a split in the country.\u00a0 At least two distinct geographic entities would occupy what is now the United States.\u00a0 For this scenario let us pick the case that a successful path forward is arranged and both (or more) daughter states move forward along independent paths with more or less cooperation between them.<\/li>\n<li>The third possibility and the least likely scenario is that the progressives lose. Somehow President Trump successfully manages to turn the American project back into the direction of freedom and sanity and reasonable men follow him in reversing the outrages of the last half century and putting us back on the path of freedom and healthy social relations.\u00a0 This is my idea of the happy ending.<\/li>\n<li>The fourth scenario is a full-scale civil war of the type seen in Yugoslavia. If this occurs, I assume the likeliest outcome is a divided country with an eventual armistice and population shifts to allow people to choose between two very polarized and hostile camps.\u00a0 This would be an extreme version of Option 2.<\/li>\n<li>In option 5 our enemies around the world see our weakness and division and nuke us into oblivion. This is also a slightly less likely scenario but far from improbable.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>I\u2019m sure there are several other cases that I\u2019ve neglected.\u00a0 If you have your own idea for a different version feel free to leave it in the attached poll or comments.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>[socialpoll id=&#8221;2527608&#8243;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Science fiction writer L. Sprague de Camp has been quoted as having said \u201cIt does not pay a prophet to be too specific.\u201d\u00a0 He was<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,818],"tags":[599,1306,1497],"class_list":["post-5207","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-current-events","category-ocf","tag-future-predictions","tag-my-predictions","tag-the-fate-of-the-united-states"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How Many Possible Paths-Forward Are There? - Orion&#039;s Cold Fire<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/orionscoldfire.com\/index.php\/2018\/11\/18\/how-many-possible-paths-forward-are-there\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How Many Possible Paths-Forward Are There? - Orion&#039;s Cold Fire\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Science fiction writer L. 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