What the Tea Leaves Said – Poll Results and My Thoughts on Their Relevance

 

 

Question Votes % of Voters
Joe Biden Will Not Make It Four Years 27 96%
The Democrats Will Attack Freedom of Religion 26 93%
Things Cannot Go On this Way 24 86%
The Democrats Will Ban What They Call Hate Speech 24 86%
The Democrats Will Ban Many Kinds of Guns 24 86%
Some Red States Will Push Back Against Federal Assaults on Constitutional Rights 23 82%
The Supreme Court Will Not Protect Free Speech 17 61%
Things Will Get Worse 16 57%
The Supreme Court Will Not Protect Gun Rights 16 57%
The Supreme Court Will Not Protect Freedom of Religion 16 57%
The Republicans Will Retake the Presidency in 2024 11 39%
The Republicans Won’t Win the Presidency Again 9 32%
We Will Be Wearing Masks Indefinitely 9 32%
Masks Will Go Away Altogether in a Few Months 8 29%
The Supreme Court Will Protect Freedom of Religion 8 29%
The Supreme Court Will Protect Gun Rights 7 25%
The Supreme Court Will Protect Free Speech 7 25%
Things Will get Better 5 18%
The Red States Will Acquiesce Under the Federal Assault on Constitutional Rights 3 11%
Things Will Stay the Way They Are Now Indefinitely 3 11%
Joe Biden Will Last Out His Term 1 4%
Some Red States Will Secede from the United States 0 0%
Total Voters: 28 100%

 

Let’s take a look at the results.  First of all, response to the poll was pretty high.  Out of 160 readers we got 28 poll respondents.  Which is 18%.  But the percentage is probably higher because the 160 number probably contains some people returning to see how the numbers were turning out.  But 20% is pretty high for one of these polls.

I’m going to start with an 80/20 approach I’ll look at any result higher than 80% as an overwhelming preponderance of sentiment.  Anything below 20% is a very low support from the general population.

Questions Selected by More than 80% of the Respondents Votes % of Voters
Joe Biden Will Not Make It Four Years 27 96%
The Democrats Will Attack Freedom of Religion 26 93%
Things Cannot Go On this Way 24 86%
The Democrats Will Ban What They Call Hate Speech 24 86%
The Democrats Will Ban Many Kinds of Guns 24 86%
Some Red States Will Push Back Against Federal Assaults on Constitutional Rights 23 82%

 

Coming in at 96% everyone thinks Joe Biden will not last four years in office.  Well, that seems like a safe bet.  Three of the statements are that the Democrats will go after Freedom of religion, free speech and the right to bear arms.  These go hand in hand and once again these things are clearly on their agenda.  What this shows is that the people reading this site are well aware of what the current political alignment is going to do.  And I agree on this.  They intend to advance their agenda with the majority they have fraudulently assembled in the Senate.  The next item is a general statement.  “Things Cannot Go On this Way.”  I think this one is important.  Most people feel that the abnormality and the dysfunction of all the current status quo is intolerable and will cause a reaction.  And that goes hand in hand with the final 80%+ statement, “Some Red States Will Push Back Against Federal Assaults on Constitutional Rights.”  Most people feel that some of the states will not stand for the unconstitutional laws that the Democrats are going to write.  Personally that is a comforting result.  I am glad to know that my thinking is line with most conservatives.  I’d hate to think that everyone has already abandoned us to whatever laws the Democrats feel like writing.  And with the current Democrat monopoly of power in Washington it will have to be the states that push back against these outrages.

 

Now we can look at the results that had less than 20% agreement.

Questions Selected by Less than 20% of Respondents Votes % of Voters
Things Will get Better 5 18%
The Red States Will Acquiesce Under the Federal Assault on Constitutional Rights 3 11%
Things Will Stay the Way They Are Now Indefinitely 3 11%
Joe Biden Will Last Out His Term 1 4%
Some Red States Will Secede from the United States 0 0%

 

Only one statement had no takers.  No one thought that any of the states would secede.  Too bad.  I think that’s one we may need.  But maybe it’s too soon.

All the other statements are the opposite of some of the statements that had the 80% approval.

 

Finally we’ll look at the stuff in the middle.

Question Selected Between 20% and 80% of Respondents Votes % of Voters
The Supreme Court Will Not Protect Free Speech 17 61%
Things Will Get Worse 16 57%
The Supreme Court Will Not Protect Gun Rights 16 57%
The Supreme Court Will Not Protect Freedom of Religion 16 57%
The Republicans Will Retake the Presidency in 2024 11 39%
The Republicans Won’t Win the Presidency Again 9 32%
We Will Be Wearing Masks Indefinitely 9 32%
Masks Will Go Away Altogether in a Few Months 8 29%
The Supreme Court Will Protect Freedom of Religion 8 29%
The Supreme Court Will Protect Gun Rights 7 25%
The Supreme Court Will Protect Free Speech 7 25%

 

So these are the things people aren’t sure about.  Will the Supreme Court Defend the Constitution?  Is it still possible to win a presidential election?  Will the COVID farce ever end?  If you look at the percentages as they stand it’s two to one against the Supreme Court helping us.  That seems about right to me.  As far as the COVID and election questions those are dependent on whether we get fed up and so something about them.

I wasn’t sure what I’d find with this poll but now it seems surprising in line with my own take on the whole thing.  Well, all except that thumbs down on secession.    I figured it would be a little less lop-sided.  But as I said maybe that’s more a matter of a little more time passing.

Well, thanks for everyone’s input.  I hope you found it interesting too.  Please feel free to leave your comments on my observations.  They are welcome.

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Tyler, the Portly Politico

I did not vote for the secession option, even though I think it may soon be necessary, because it just seems like such a remote possibility—it seems too good to be true. Recent history suggests States pushing back through constitutional means is more likely. We’ll see! At least for me, not voting for the secession option is not a reflection of my own views on secession, just that I still take it as a remote possibility that will be a hard sell to most normies.