My Thoughts on the Various Possible Outcomes of the Upcoming Election

First item, full disclosure, I believe President Trump will win the election decisively enough that even the massive fraud the Democrats plan won’t be enough to change the result.  So that’s my prediction.  But I am realistic enough to know that I don’t have all the answers.

Second item, full disclosure, there is almost no result that could occur that will plunge me into despair.  When Barack Obama was elected, I was devastated to think that the American people would allow cultural Marxism to take over the government voluntarily.  Since then I have become a lot less naive about how this country is broken up politically.  I’ve also come to terms with how unreliable even “conservative Republicans” are at respecting the agenda of their constituency.  So even outcomes that put the Democrats fully in charge of all branches of government at both the state and national level will not drive me to desperation.  So here are some thought experiments on possible outcomes and their effects on the country and my reaction to them.

What are the possible outcomes, broadly speaking? There are five categories that the results break down into.  I’ll start with the easiest cases and work my way up from there.  The two most common outcomes are either the Democrat clearly wins or the Republican clearly wins.  Those are the outcomes that will have the least chance for irregular actions by the candidates or their proxies.  Nothing much needs to be said about how those successions are performed because they are the routine occurrences that we see every four or eight years in our country.

The next pair of outcomes is one or the other of the two candidates wins but by a very small margin in one or more states and the two parties litigate the results in the state and federal courts.  This is the outcome we saw in 2000 between George W. Bush and Al Gore over the Florida count.  That time it went to the Supreme Court which decided that allowing local jurisdictions to tamper with the ballots was an unacceptable process.  Twenty years ago, this was a much less polarized country and the appearance of propriety was important even to the Democrats back then.  If this election gets hauled into the courts and ballots are counted by political hacks no one is going to be satisfied that an honest count is being performed.  This will surely increase the level of polarization to positively stratospheric heights and surely will push us into uglier and uglier collisions for the foreseeable future.  In these two cases whichever party wins the election the new president will effectively have half the country dead set against him.

And then there is the fifth outcome.  In this scenario a close election results in a breakdown of the system.  Both sides contend that they won and the impasse moves into an insurrection in which both sides use extra-legal actions to seize power in Washington and begin some level of armed conflict.  This one is a complete mystery.  We’ve never seen this happen and it could be as bad as it gets.  Let’s not forget that the nuclear arsenal is out there and our enemies would take advantage of a civil conflict to damage us in any way they think they can.

Now let’s look at my reaction to each of these outcomes.

In outcome one President Trump wins a clear victory.  I celebrate by spending the holidays listening endlessly to leftists crying and screaming that the world has come to an end.  Life goes on and there is hope for improvement.

In outcome two Biden wins a clear victory.  I start living life as independently of the established governmental controls as I am able.

In outcome three President Trump wins a bitterly contested victory.  I celebrate by spending the holidays listening endlessly to leftists crying and screaming that the world has come to an end.  I anticipate a future breach between the red and blue states and begin making plans to find a safe haven.

In outcome four Biden wins a bitterly contested victory.  I anticipate a future breach between the red and blue states and begin making plans to find a safe haven.

In outcome five I try to figure out the safest place in the country to avoid my family being overrun by a war.

As you can see, I think the only outcome that lets me continue a normal life is a decisive victory by President Trump.  Anything else indicates a country that will no longer operate the way it was supposed to.  And because a virtual insurrection is already occurring, I can anticipate that things will get much worse after any of the other scenarios mentioned.

But I don’t see any reason to despair.  Resolution of the present impasse is the inevitable end of this struggle.  Trying to avoid it will simply allow the Left to take the initiative to settle it on their own terms.  This has to happen so let it happen.

Just use your head.  Don’t paint a target on yourself and be aware of the people around you and of their loyalties.  Be prepared to help and protect your family and friends during times of unrest and actual danger.  If something very serious is anticipated be prepared to get away to a safe haven on very short notice.  Don’t disbelieve your own eyes and ears.  When normal patterns break down anomalous behavior is to be expected.  Have emergency supplies and plans.

And relax, don’t panic, you’ll get through this.  We are not opposed by geniuses.  Just dishonest men.  Know your enemy and you can avoid the harm they intend you.

Additional Voices at Orion’s Cold Fire

Recently I was able to add posts from War Pig and Charlemagne Really on the blog at the same time.  And this reminded me of how refreshing it is to get other voices up on the site.  It also attracts different readers based on the topics and points of view.

And that has made me more determined to get more guest contributors.  What I’m interested in is finding people to write about different interests like hunting, fishing, camping, sports, gaming, different music, and even people of different ages and (gasp) maybe even a woman or two.  And I am even interested in people whose politics may even be a click left or right of mine.  Now one thing I’m not looking for is the woke folk.  They need not apply.  I don’t want anyone who thinks America needs to confess its sins and grovel to the BLM crowd, no interest in that stuff at all.  But I am aware that the kids are way to the left of me and I think it’s worthwhile to have a dialog with someone moderate but who isn’t screaming fascist at anyone wearing a MAGA hat.

I am trying to find some of the folks who have hobbies that I think people are interested in.  One fellow is a gun enthusiast and I know that will spark a lot of interest because it’s fun and it’s also practical.  And there are some others out there that might be willing.  There’s no big commitment and the writers of course own their material and can even pull it from the site if they so desire at a later date.

So if you or somebody you know wants to share some interesting information or has an essay on why Joe Biden may very well be one of the beasts from Revelations then by all means have him leave a comment on this post or send an e-mail to orionscoldfire@charter.net

Now, of course, I will review the post first to make sure there isn’t anything in it that I can’t allow.  I keep the site at the PG-13 level and I’m careful to keep sacrilegious and really offensive stuff off the site.  And I’m not interested in discussing anyone’s theories on who the smartest or the stupidest people in the world are.  While aware that no two people are exactly equal in anything, I don’t see the advantage in telling anyone that he is smarter or dumber than me.  What I do want is for the government to stop telling me who I have to hire, rent to or live next to based on their latest intersectional guilt trip.  I think the laws we’ve always had allowed a dramatically wide range of people to live and work together on a level playing field and in my mind that is a just society.  So, while I admit that identity politics may currently be the only way for white people in America to protect themselves from the Marxists, I don’t think that people of various races and ethnicities are incapable of cooperating in a place like the United States.

Okay, enough preaching.  Send the writers to me and I’ll provide them with a friendly place to speak.

A Word of Thanks to Our Boosters

Orion’s Cold Fire has been linked by a number of sites over the years.  I can’t see the links from Facebook, Twitter and other social media sites other than that they are there but thanks to those who do link from there.  If you want me to mention you leave a comment on this post with your link.

 

Also I receive links from the following sites:

http://www.daybydaycartoon.com/

https://www.whatfinger.com/

https://theportlypolitico.com/

https://disturbeddeputy.wordpress.com/

https://maddmedic.wordpress.com/

https://captaincapitalism.blogspot.com/

I appreciate the publicity and the kind words that guide the readers to this site.  Thank you all.

02SEP2020 – OCF Update

Shocking events everywhere we look.  But maybe we’re not as easily shocked anymore.  Running street battles with Americans shooting at each other used to be a shocking concept.  Not anymore.  It’s the status quo.  So I better get used to all this so as not to seem behind the times.  But when I see something interesting I’ll be sure to write down my comments.

And I’ll be sure to provide some entertaining stuff too that will help us enjoy our bumpy ride.  For instance the next two Star Trek episodes are “The Trouble With Tribbles” and “The Gamesters of Triskelion.”  I haven’t watched either episode in decades but I know they are of the highest entertainment value and I’ll exploit them to the fullest extent.

At the Daily Quote its Sun Tzu week.  The wisdom of war and never a more fitting time for it.

On the photo side I plan on doing a couple of summer retrospectives.  This summer hasn’t been very productive for either flowers or butterflies but I want to do an insect review and maybe a flower one too.  I also think I’ve now got enough experience with shooting hummingbirds with both the 90mm macro and the 200-600 zoom to put together some kind of an essay on what I’ve learned and some explanatory photos for emphasis and interest.

As we head into the fall it’s time to start looking for horror movies for the Halloween season.  Having already reviewed all the 1930s and 1940s classic monster movies I guess it’s time to look at some of the more up to date candidates.  This will be a more ticklish business.  Realistic horror came into its own in the last thirty years with stories like the Silence of the Lambs.  But there is also some stuff that has crossed so far over the line into sadism that watching it is just an exercise in degradation.  I will tread carefully.

And of course the election will be a circus that even P.T. Barnum would envy.  We will have a spectacle that would make Nero sit up and take notice.

So stay tuned.

29AUG2020 – OCF Update – Hacked By Putin

Well it finally happened.  They got me.  Hacked by Putin, just like the DNC.  I knew I shouldn’t have clicked on that Biden ad.  It only took six and a half hours of fumbling around with hosting sites and security companies and threatening the Kremlin but once I got President Trump on the line he straightened the whole thing out in five minutes.

If anyone got spam from me you have my humblest apologies.  I’ll work with the experts to make sure those commies can’t attack again.  By tomorrow I’ll have the photos and quotes up to date and I’ll work on some new pearls of wisdom besides.

{a much humbled and chastened} photog

In Praise of Civic Nationalism (At Least My Version Any Way)

Among the Dissident Right, the CivNats (as they call them) are almost an epithet.  Maybe not as despised as the NeoCons or the Libertarians but close behind.  And in a way I see their point.  The Civic Nationalists have allowed themselves to be gaslit by the Uniparty for the last fifty years.  For pointing this out to me I will always be indebted to these merchants of hate.  But as incisive as their thoughts are regarding the details of how the Uniparty uses identity politics against the white people of America I can’t come around to their idea that every ethnic and racial group is bound to face off against each other over the carcass of the United States of America.  To my way of thinking, that would be throwing the baby out with the bathwater.

I am not a descendant of the Mayflower pilgrims.  And my people weren’t born within a thousand miles of England.  Other than possible sentry duty on Hadrian’s Wall during the early centuries of the Christian era all of my people had spent their time in southern Italy for as far back as our family tree can show.  But I don’t think any Standishes or Bradfords were ever brought up more patriotically American than my family was.  And having grown up in New York City I met many immigrants who came to this country with the sole object of making their children as proudly American as was humanly possible.  And this was in a city where the various ethnic groups treated each other with all the fondness that the various groups in Beirut currently do (well, short of RPG fire anyway).

I once met a man on the subway who had fled from China by swimming across the bay to Hong Kong.  He and his two brothers attempted it together.  One brother was dragged back, the other brother drowned.  But this man made it.  When he found out that Hong Kong would revert to China one day he decided to come to America.  He was a lower working-class fellow but he invited me to his apartment for dinner.  When he told me how he taught his children to revere America as the greatest country in the world because of its freedom and justice he sounded like a Frank Capra movie.  I was amazed.  This was back in the mid-eighties and New York had become a crime ridden hellhole with racial animosity at the boiling point.  But here was this man who could barely speak English and struggling to make ends meet speaking with an almost religious fervor about his adopted country.  It was kind of inspiring.  To me it was a kindred spirit to how my family was raised. We believed that myth.

Now here we are in 2020.  Antifa are the children of the Mayflower descendants, the top of the heap, and they don’t believe the myth.  To them America is a hate filled racist death camp.  Then you have BLM.  They are the descendants of the black slaves, the bottom of the heap, and they believe the same thing.  So that just leaves us, the middle of the heap.  Some of us still believe.  And I know the myth can work because I’ve seen it.  But it only works for those who don’t want to destroy what’s here.  My grandparents didn’t have a dream of turning America into Naples or anywhere else in Italy.  That Chinese fellow didn’t want to resurrect Canton here.  He wanted his children to speak English and watch the Mets play baseball on channel 9.  My ancestors didn’t get here until long after the Civil War but I have no desire to pull down statues of confederate soldiers or Founding Fathers.  That’s as bad as the Nazis burning books on relativistic physics just because Einstein was Jewish.  This country has a history.  It includes acts of great bravery and acts of down right cowardice.  There has been burning hatred and great compassion.  But that history is real.  Revisionists are retelling it from one point of view and want nothing else to remain.  But I’ll have none of that.

So, here’s my version of civic nationalism.  If your idea of America is that it is a terrible place founded by evil white people who need to expiate the sins of their fathers copiously and endlessly, then you’re not an American.  Even if you are Thomas Jefferson’s multi-great-grandson, you aren’t an American.  You’re nothing.  But if you believe that with all its warts and all its mistakes that the United States of America is the single greatest experiment in human governance since Adam and Eve were given the Garden then you are an American and my brother.  I don’t particularly care if you are white, black, red, brown, yellow or even green.  As long as you stand for the Star-Spangled Banner, Pledge Allegiance with your hand over your heart and love this country for what it has always been, then you’re an American.  The main thing is you believe in the Bill of Rights and the rule of law.  Don’t try to take away our guns just because your old country didn’t have them.  Don’t try to stop people from speaking their minds just because it might hurt someone’s feelings.  Don’t expect us to suspend our immigration laws just so a few more of your cousins can jump the border.  Don’t try to erase our history or inflict guilt on us for being successful.  Speak English and bring your children up to love this country and its history.  And whatever you do don’t have anything to do with antifa, BLM or the Democrat party.  They’re all Marxists.  It would help if you like baseball instead of soccer or cricket but that is a minor thing.

So that is the coalition I want, true believers.  But I won’t include anyone in who kowtows to the thugs who hate America.  You’re either proud of this country or you’re just a freeloader looking to tear off a piece of its wealth.  I’m guessing there are still millions of us.  And having a common point of view gives us an identity and orients us politically and culturally.  And that’s the only use of the words identity and orientation I’ll ever need.

Race and the Right

I often read articles by people who describe themselves as the Dissident Right.  What these groups line up around is the idea that the experiment of the United States of America as a multi-ethnic state has been a failure.  The corollary is that the reason for the failure is because the egalitarianism enshrined in the Declaration of Independence with the words, “All men are created equal,” is untrue and therefore a stumbling block to making a society made up of diverse groups workable.  They point out the absurdities and obvious discrimination inherent in the affirmative action laws that interfere in the selection of students and employees in colleges and corporations across America and the harm these practices do both psychologically and practically to all involved.  And they say this problem is unavoidable because of actual differences among different races and groups with respect to intelligence and temperament.  They will point to scientifically produced studies to prove these differences exist and point to the last fifty years of civil rights legislation to prove that nothing will ever alter the government’s approach to race relations.  In other words, the government will always consider differences in achievement and social outcome between the races as proof that racial discrimination is being committed.

I believe that some of what they say is probably true.  There are differences between people.  And intelligence is an inherited characteristic in the same way that all our other physical characteristics are inherited from our parents.  And some groups probably are better at various things depending on how their ancestors spent their time.  Farmers, hunters, merchants, sailors, soldiers, priests, and craftsman are successful for different skill sets and physical characteristics.  If a civilization has a very long history, running into millennia of a profession that specializes in doing astronomical calculations such as the Chinese or the Babylonians it might not be surprising to find their descendants have been selected for brains that are adept at mathematical calculation.  Or if your people have been traders for thousands of years such as many in the middle east it might not be surprising to find that they have skills that make them comfortable working in finance and commerce.  Let’s grant all these things.  But let’s also remember that every group is itself a normal distribution for any of these traits.  There is always a bell curve with the majority of individuals somewhere in the middle of the curve but with some individuals higher and lower than the middle.  So even within any group that is found to excel at some characteristic like IQ, that group will have some more intelligent individuals and some less.  And no one seems to be upset that there are more and less successful individuals within an ethnic or racial group that is not believed to be victims of discrimination.  If all the white Anglo-Saxon descendants in Massachusetts were catalogued, we would find some that were incredibly wealthy and then we would find some that are abysmally poor.  Why do we not assume that discrimination is at work?  The obvious reason is that there is no racial motive at work.  So, this would lead us to the conclusion that differences in the talents and characteristics of people lead to differences in their level of success.  We do not have to suspect that systemic discrimination is the cause.

Bringing this back to the egalitarian statement, “All men are created equal,” it seems evident to me that the Founding Fathers didn’t mean that people were identical in their capabilities but instead that all men were equal under the law.  There were no nobles who had priority over the rights of the commoners.  There was one law for all.  But I can’t see how that should be interpreted as meaning that everyone is forced to have exactly the same house, car, family size and television set.  Now granted the government seems to be saying that if there are disparities between the prosperity of different ethnic and racial groups then the only explanation is racism.  But I see changing the government’s minds and policies as the primary object of the Right-Wing project.

But let me play devil’s advocate.  My neighbors in the Dissident Right would say that the gap for some groups is so large that they could not integrate into the society that contains many higher functioning individuals because their skills would not be adequate.  I do not think that is true.  There are jobs in a country like ours that accommodate all levels of skill and experience.  That is proved by the never-ending influx of unskilled illegal immigrants who find occupation by the millions.

No, I think the real problem is we have to force the government to acknowledge that we’re not harming the people they claim we are.  In fact, we have to force the government to admit that welfare and affirmative action are the problems.  That and the phony claims by the Left that blacks are being systematically oppressed.  These lies have poisoned race relations in America for more than a generation past when any actual discrimination existed.

As far as the problems with police, that is a reflection of the lawlessness that reigns in these neighborhoods.  Pretending that it is the police that are the problem is a ridiculous lie.  Police hyperactivity occurs whenever criminality is rampant.  This same situation occurred in the European ghettos of the early twentieth century in all the big cities.  Irish, Italian and even Jewish gangs were constantly battling the police and the kids in the neighborhood would be recruited by the gangs and would then be fair game for the police.

Of course, at the present time, this situation has festered to the point that millions live in poverty, crime and perpetual unemployment.  To break out of this crisis the government should focus its efforts on incentivizing industries that can utilize low skill employees to set up shop in these devastated areas and shift as many of these people from welfare to work as quickly as possible.

So that in a nutshell is how I see the racial problem in the United States.  I differ from the Dissident Right in that I don’t think the problem is unsolvable.  The problem is to end the failed practice of blaming white people for disparities in racial prosperity and instead concentrate on stimulating job creation for low skill employees to break the cycle of perpetual unemployment and dysfunction.

But one thing that should be said in defense of the Dissident Right.  They were first to recognize that the Left’s use of identity politics rendered the Establishment Right perpetually on the defensive and hopelessly incapable of defeating the never-ending series of progressive demands.  And their recommendation that white Americans begin demanding their rights is absolutely correct.  In a world of identity politics, the only way to avoid abuse is to claim your own identity and stand up for your rights.

20AUG2020 – OCF Update

First off, apologies on that notification this afternoon.  There was no post.  Something odd must have happened with the software or maybe I’ve got a gremlin.  Hopefully it’s a one off.

Unfortunately the day job is really starting to interfere with OCF.  So I may have to quit the day job.  But bear with me.  Serving two masters (and a mistress if you count Camera Girl’s endless demands) is an impossibility according to the good book.  But that’s where I am right now.  And that is why the paucity of posting.  So I’m checking with the people who count up my pennies to see if retirement is in my immediate future.  If it is then all good things will be possible.  I’ve opened up a Kindle Direct Publishing account and might try my hand at some fiction writing.

Camera Girl is of course worried about her lavish life style evaporating, her mountain gorilla rescue colony on her private Hawaiian island, the Mozart cloning effort going on in Bora Bora, her five alarm chili cooking lessons.  I told her to cancel the chili lessons.

But I have many skills.  Looking through the want ads I saw an interesting opportunity for a rodeo clown.  That’s similar to my present job but with much more dignity and a better class of people.  After all, I don’t think the rodeo has started to kneel during the anthem or accused their employees of white privilege.

I feel a little guilty because I’ve skipped the Dem convention.  In my defense I have a weak stomach and probably would be ill if I watched that much stupidity, but from what I’ve heard it sounds pretty unwatchable.

I read an article by, I guess you’d call him an entrepreneur, living in NYC.  His thesis is that this time the city won’t be coming back.  His biggest reason is that there’s no longer a good reason to live in New York.  Culturally, all the advantages have been cancelled out.  The good restaurants, the theater, the stores are all gone and won’t be coming back, not soon anyway and only in a much more degraded fashion.  Commercially, the office buildings will never fill up again now that businesses have discovered that remote working is a viable and much cheaper option for almost everything except manufacturing.  Plus the retail stores have been looted and burned out of existence and have no hope of customers showing up for months to come.  And finally, the residents who can leave, have.  The loss of all the above plus the rampant crime and fear that it entails has made New York a decidedly unappealing locale for the upper classes.  And when they leave that will change the complexion of life in New York in a decisive way.

When I left New York thirty three years ago I did so because it had become a bad place to raise kids for anyone who wasn’t rich.  Now, unless you have a security fence like the one around the T Rex pen in Jurassic Park and a private helipad, even the rich wouldn’t want to live there.  Well, I’ve already made my peace with being a stranger in a strange land.  Any place that would enthusiastically re-elect Bill de Blasio deserves everything it gets and more.  I just feel bad for the small business owners and working class people.  But it will be a permanent object lesson for all of them about living in a place where marxists are in charge.

The weather has taken on a late summer feel.  Which is still plenty warm but definitely means that fall will be sneaking up on us before we know it.  It also means soon I’ll run out of flowers, plants and bugs to take pictures of.

And, of course, this going to be an election from hell.  We can expect the Democrats to pull out all the stops and break every law in the book to try and drag Creepy Uncle Joe over the finish line.  We’ll all need strong stomachs by the time this thing is over.

So stay tuned.

The Ministries of Truth and Love in Corporate America

In 1984, George Orwell’s overly optimistic vision of what the future totalitarian progressive state would be, he calls the government agency in charge of propaganda, the Ministry of Truth and the Ministry of Love was the agency whose job it was to terrorize and punish the citizens into believing that truth.  In the real world, where things are much worse, instead of just the government, each corporation has now combined those functions into the Human Resources department.  They provide you with the loving truth and you had better pay attention when they do.

Last week on one of my posts someone commented his reply to his employer’s corporate “conversation” about anti-black racism in America. To say he gave them the straight dope would be an understatement.  He gave them both barrels.  And he did this without anonymity.  That’s amazingly brave.  Recently Cisco had a similar townhall meeting to air opinions about the same topic and when some employees said things like “All Lives Matter Not Just Black Lives Matter” they were promptly fired.  LinkedIn had a similar meeting but allowed anonymity and after they received similar answers, they promised to never allow anonymous replies again.  Here’s MSN’s article describing these two events.  Being Microsoft, the article takes the view that the employees got what they deserved.

Now normally I prefer not to quote people I do not respect but for once I think I’ll use Barack Obama’s favorite phrase.  Let’s look at this as a “teachable moment.”

What do we see here?  American corporations pretending to encourage open discussion of a divisive position on race relations that the company has taken and when the employees provide nuanced reasonable opinions that oppose the company’s position, they are declared racists and fired.

What should we learn from this?  First of all, if an American company says they want your opinion, really what they are telling you is what your opinion must be.  Namely, the same opinion as theirs.  Period.  In fact, what they’re expecting you to do is virtue signal just how much more you believe in something than even the company does.  If the company says it’s going to donate a half percent of profits to BLM you should declare that you’re going to donate a full percent or even more of your paycheck to BLM.  If you want to keep working at the company the least you are allowed to do is just stay silent about your true opinion.  And depending on how “woke” the company is, even that may get you fired.

Secondly, corporate America has knuckled under either willingly or unwillingly to the progressive agenda, lock, stock and barrel.  Unless you happen to be a protected class, you are at best a second-class citizen and most likely someone they would rather see leave.

And finally, the way this should get fixed is by a Justice Department investigation that prosecutes one of these companies for civil rights violations at a monetary level that puts the fear of God in every board room in the country.  And the only way that happens is if the President, the DOJ and the Supreme Court are all on our side and want us to be free citizens again.  Whether that is likely to happen sooner or later is hard to say.

But I had a funny idea, call it a thought experiment.  Since the BLM/Antifa model of direct action is apparently perfectly acceptable to the governments of the various states involved would it be equally okay if a mostly peaceful protest showed up in Mountain View, California and burned Google’s headquarters to the ground.  Or maybe CNN or The New York Times or even Harvard University.  Nothing violent or wrong just a mostly peaceful protest where people took direct action to let the country at large know that they were unhappy.  Now, my guess is that the executive office of every big corporation in America would have a very long meeting about that occurrence but I also guess there wouldn’t be any Human Resources townhall about it.  I’ll bet they won’t state their opinion at all.  But they may stop telling Americans what they have to believe in order to work at their company.  Just a thought.

08AUG2020 – OCF Update

Apologies for my lack of content.  My power and data lines have been down since Tuesday afternoon and just this minute the internet came back on line.  The power is still out but the generator has another day or two of propane to run on so life is good.

I’ll try to catch up but bear with some spotty content until I catch up with what has happened in my absence.  Unless the giant ants have already taken over the world in which case I salute our insect overlords and look forward to pointing out Democrats for them to devour.