First item, full disclosure, I believe President Trump will win the election decisively enough that even the massive fraud the Democrats plan won’t be enough to change the result. So that’s my prediction. But I am realistic enough to know that I don’t have all the answers.
Second item, full disclosure, there is almost no result that could occur that will plunge me into despair. When Barack Obama was elected, I was devastated to think that the American people would allow cultural Marxism to take over the government voluntarily. Since then I have become a lot less naive about how this country is broken up politically. I’ve also come to terms with how unreliable even “conservative Republicans” are at respecting the agenda of their constituency. So even outcomes that put the Democrats fully in charge of all branches of government at both the state and national level will not drive me to desperation. So here are some thought experiments on possible outcomes and their effects on the country and my reaction to them.
What are the possible outcomes, broadly speaking? There are five categories that the results break down into. I’ll start with the easiest cases and work my way up from there. The two most common outcomes are either the Democrat clearly wins or the Republican clearly wins. Those are the outcomes that will have the least chance for irregular actions by the candidates or their proxies. Nothing much needs to be said about how those successions are performed because they are the routine occurrences that we see every four or eight years in our country.
The next pair of outcomes is one or the other of the two candidates wins but by a very small margin in one or more states and the two parties litigate the results in the state and federal courts. This is the outcome we saw in 2000 between George W. Bush and Al Gore over the Florida count. That time it went to the Supreme Court which decided that allowing local jurisdictions to tamper with the ballots was an unacceptable process. Twenty years ago, this was a much less polarized country and the appearance of propriety was important even to the Democrats back then. If this election gets hauled into the courts and ballots are counted by political hacks no one is going to be satisfied that an honest count is being performed. This will surely increase the level of polarization to positively stratospheric heights and surely will push us into uglier and uglier collisions for the foreseeable future. In these two cases whichever party wins the election the new president will effectively have half the country dead set against him.
And then there is the fifth outcome. In this scenario a close election results in a breakdown of the system. Both sides contend that they won and the impasse moves into an insurrection in which both sides use extra-legal actions to seize power in Washington and begin some level of armed conflict. This one is a complete mystery. We’ve never seen this happen and it could be as bad as it gets. Let’s not forget that the nuclear arsenal is out there and our enemies would take advantage of a civil conflict to damage us in any way they think they can.
Now let’s look at my reaction to each of these outcomes.
In outcome one President Trump wins a clear victory. I celebrate by spending the holidays listening endlessly to leftists crying and screaming that the world has come to an end. Life goes on and there is hope for improvement.
In outcome two Biden wins a clear victory. I start living life as independently of the established governmental controls as I am able.
In outcome three President Trump wins a bitterly contested victory. I celebrate by spending the holidays listening endlessly to leftists crying and screaming that the world has come to an end. I anticipate a future breach between the red and blue states and begin making plans to find a safe haven.
In outcome four Biden wins a bitterly contested victory. I anticipate a future breach between the red and blue states and begin making plans to find a safe haven.
In outcome five I try to figure out the safest place in the country to avoid my family being overrun by a war.
As you can see, I think the only outcome that lets me continue a normal life is a decisive victory by President Trump. Anything else indicates a country that will no longer operate the way it was supposed to. And because a virtual insurrection is already occurring, I can anticipate that things will get much worse after any of the other scenarios mentioned.
But I don’t see any reason to despair. Resolution of the present impasse is the inevitable end of this struggle. Trying to avoid it will simply allow the Left to take the initiative to settle it on their own terms. This has to happen so let it happen.
Just use your head. Don’t paint a target on yourself and be aware of the people around you and of their loyalties. Be prepared to help and protect your family and friends during times of unrest and actual danger. If something very serious is anticipated be prepared to get away to a safe haven on very short notice. Don’t disbelieve your own eyes and ears. When normal patterns break down anomalous behavior is to be expected. Have emergency supplies and plans.
And relax, don’t panic, you’ll get through this. We are not opposed by geniuses. Just dishonest men. Know your enemy and you can avoid the harm they intend you.