So, everybody wants to know if all the redistricting for the race-based districts that is going on down south will offset the midterm disadvantage for the Republicans. My guess is it will absorb the bulk of the blowout and the Democrats will take the House by a handful of seats. Right now, they’re talking about the Senate being a toss-up. If I were to guess I’ll say it’ll be a fifty-fifty Senate with Vance as the tie breaker and thus keeping the Senate for the Republicans. So that deadlock means nothing substantive will be legislated for Trump’s last two years. And that’s okay. Executive orders will be the name of the game.
But what happens in 2028? A lot of people are very pessimistic. Personally, I’m optimistic. Two years should be enough time for Trump to break Iran. After the midterms I see him closing down the Straits of Hormuz for as long as it takes to bankrupt Iran and cripple China. It won’t be pain free. Iran will lash out and who knows how crazy they may get. But I don’t think it will take two years to get them to give up their nuclear program permanently. So, if he gets past Iran, I can see oil prices dropping drastically and that will have a profoundly positive effect on the economy. Now what comes after Trump?
Let me take a pessimistic scenario. Suppose everything goes wrong and the Democrats take the White House, Senate and House in 2028. According to their leaders, they will nuke the filibuster, pack the Supreme Court and make all illegal aliens, citizens. That will have the effect of providing them with a permanent majority in Washington. That is what they say they’ll do. But will they do it?
I think they know that if they do those things, they are effectively declaring war against the red states. That is a very big deal. And I think some of them are afraid that it will cause a permanent breach between the two separate constituencies that this country is composed of. And I think they know if they’re the ones who do it, they will force the other side to give up on the normal way things are done in Washington and begin using “unconventional” tactics to prevent the federal government from destroying their states. Now what this would exactly look like, I’m not sure. But I suspect it will not all be “passive resistance.” And eventually, this will bring about a permanent separation between red and blue states.
Some of this is already happening. Businesses and high net worth individuals are leaving blue states and blue cities in droves. The socialist mayors and governors are panicking because their budgets are in a shambles and the unchecked crime is frightening away the middle and working classes too. So, we’re already seeing a separation begin. If the Democrats flood the country with illegals, the red states are going to have to figure a way to prevent these invaders from harming their states. And making that happen will cause additional friction between the feds and the red states. And that is how it will escalate. How will that end nobody knows but it will not look like one country anymore. So, will they declare war against the red states?