The short term of our world is becoming clearer. COVID is limping off, stage left, along with what’s left of Dementia Joe’s credibility. Inflation is taking center stage and appears to be finishing off what’s left of the Democrats’ legislative agenda and their hopes of holding onto the House and possibly the Senate. Putin and Xi are waiting in the wings to slap Dopey Joe around and strip the last vestiges of his foreign policy and military reputation. In a very few weeks the Democratic Congress will scatter to the wind doing their utmost to try to save their jobs. In the short-term, wreckage and wrath are swirling around Washington. And experience says there’s just about nothing that Biden can do to make things any better this year. The Mid-Terms will be a rout for the Democrats. They’ll lose 40+ seats in the House and odds are they’ll lose three or four seats in the Senate and thereby lose both Houses to the Stupid Party.
What I wanted to talk about is where do we go from there? Let’s take the best case. The Republicans take the House decisively and end up ahead in the Senate 54 /46. That ends any chance for Biden’s radical agenda, period. And it also allows the stoppage of more Democrat federal judges. McConnell did that last time too and it was effective. But now the Republicans own the Congress and they take the blame whenever Biden can convince the stupid public that something the Congress should legislate doesn’t happen. It’ll be unemployment benefits or extending the federal budget or something equally dumb. So slowly over time they’ll take damage and look bad. This is the inevitable progression. Now what would be different and interesting is if the House takes the initiative to investigate and impeach Biden over the content of Hunter Biden’s laptop. Now that might be exciting. Forcing Hunter to testify and exposing the tawdry details of the Biden crime family sounds like the perfect way to tar the Democrats with a very dirty brush. Do I think the Stupid Party has the smarts to do this? My guess, probably not.
Now, there is a lot going on besides Congress. The Supreme Court has been very active of late and has been touching on substantive issues. The abortion decision coming in the fall is huge and the 2nd amendment and affirmative action cases are even bigger. These cases could have enormous consequences in the real world. And in fact, the abortion case can itself be the only event that could save the Democrats from losing the House and Senate. If the Court were to rule Roe v. Wade unconstitutional it could galvanize women to vote for the Democrats.
Then there’s the Red States. Florida and to a lesser extent Texas and a few other states have begun resisting the bullying by the feds. There has even been talk of coordination across states to strengthen the resistance. Things like cracking down on illegal aliens and protecting citizens’ first and second amendment rights are at the top of this agenda. But it could spread to other aspects of life. It might involve industrial policy and even educational reform. We’ve seen a little bit of that in Virginia where a parents’ revolt against the teachers catapulted Youngkin into the governor’s mansion.
I see these things going on in parallel with the jockeying for position for the 2024 Republican Presidential Primary. DeSantis and Trump are going to have to either broker an agreement or go to war with each other. I prefer an agreement. Even if Trump gets the nomination, he’s a one term president so he needs DeSantis to be his successor. They should obviously form a ticket. Now how soon this plays out depends on a bunch of things. If the Republicans win the House, then all the nonsense about the January 6th stuff ends and we’ll start to see real campaigning happening early in 2023.
And all of this stuff is boilerplate. It’s already written in stone. What I’m interested in knowing is the wild card. Will Putin annex the Ukraine? Will one of the Red States go to war with the feds in a really spectacular fashion? Will the feds blink? Will the Supreme Court outlaw affirmative action? Now, these are things that could change the world in a big way. But in each case it still will take a courageous man to seize the opportunity presented and push things to a new reality. And that’s the real wild card, the appearance of a leader. brave smart
That’s what I would like to see: A Trump / DeSantis ticket! That would all but ensure 12 years of a strong, decisive, conservative presidency. I think the talk of a feud between Trump and DeSantis is nothing more than wishful thinking by the liberal press and I think that Trump is smart enough to realize that they are stronger together. My big fears are the bear and the dragon. I don’t see how PINO joe can stop either one of them and if he tries he will reveal that sensitivity training and pronouns are no match for tanks and… Read more »
Yeah, that would be a very strong team. As for Russia and China, we need to rearrange our priorities. I’m not even sure NATO has a mission anymore. China on the other hand is a threat to Japan and the rest of Asia. Too bad we let them make all our stuff.