ZMan walks us through the institutions that have burned through their social trust and then finishes by saying that the American Empire will soon have its collapse like the Soviet Union.
I think he makes a lot of good points. But it’s not clear to me that any systemic collapse is likely to happen anytime soon. And the reason for that is a collapse doesn’t occur until some external event intrudes. So, when will that happen? Well, it could happen tomorrow or it could be a decade. Now, I don’t think it will be a decade, in fact I could see something happening within three or four years but I wouldn’t even think of saying it’s going to happen on such and such a day. I think a good trick would be to try to guess what the external triggering event is likely to be. An easy guess is a financial collapse. The result of some kind of stagflation or very high unemployment might be enough to destabilize the political situation. But if we are talking about a societal collapse like the Soviet collapse it would be important to know what the US military would do in the case of essentially an insurrection. And that will completely depend on who is in the military at the time.
It’s fun to imagine a scenario that will end the Left’s hold on power. But trying to predict its occurrence against a calendar is maybe too difficult to try at this time.