Polls continue to stream in confirming just how toxic the Democrat brand is right now. The latest one by Susquehanna Polling & Research has the generic Republican congressional candidate up 10 points over his hapless Democrat challenger. So, it’s getting harder and harder to believe that the Republicans won’t be the recipients of a totally undeserved election gift. They’re going to be given majorities in both Houses.
But I find none of that compelling. What I’m fascinated by is knowing exactly how many RINO’s are going to be primaried out of office. To my mind this is a much more important number and one that will determine whether the GOP will be useful or useless to us over the last two years of the Biden reign of stupid. After all, if a bunch of traitors like Liz Cheney and Lisa Murkowski get kicked to the curb in November it will have a salutary effect on other RINO’s like Mitt Romney who were not up for re-election in 2022. For a slug like Mitt losing his senate seat would be tantamount to disgrace. So, if he sees his fellow mollusks cast out of their cushy sinecures this year he will scurry back to the middle where he will try to portray himself as a “severely conservative” culture warrior. Who knows he might even start swearing and claiming that he’s not happy about the January 6th protestors being left to rot in prison for years.
Trump has a list of the ten Republican congressional representatives who voted to impeach him and seven senators who voted to convict. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska is the only senator up for re-election in November but of course the terms for all ten representatives are also up then. But already four of them have decided to retire. The six remaining reps are all being vigorously pursued by primary challengers who probably have a very good chance of bumping them all off. And Murkowski is also in a dog fight to survive her primary senate challenger. I understand that Rep. David Valadao of California is a friend of minority leader Kevin McCarthy and will get as much support as he can hope for from that ally. But I’m sure Valadao is sweating pretty hard about his chances.
There’s nothing scientific about how I’m looking at this RINO hunt. But I think the results can be used as a good barometer of whether election results will track the will of the conservative voters. First off, if Cheney isn’t booted out then there is something hopeless about the chances of getting good Republicans in Congress. From what I’ve read her approval rating is in the neighborhood of 10% of the Republicans in Wyoming. And even if a bunch of Democrats vote for her, she should lose in a landslide to the woman that Trump endorsed.
The Valadao race is in California and between the dominant nature of the Democrat party there and the likelihood of voting skullduggery I wouldn’t be surprised if he survived the primary. And there are two other candidates from Washington state which is also highly progressive. So at least three of the six have some doubts attached. But Cheney and the other two races should be slam dunks. And to my mind Murkowski should be toast too.
So, let’s just say that if any of those four dead ducks survive that will provide strong evidence that even where Republicans are in the majority that RINO’s aren’t going to disappear. I’ll characterize this as a test to see just how stupid the Stupid Party really is.