I’m not completely sure how important an issue rampant crime will be in the political situation in America. It’s already fueling an enormous flight from the major cities and that is having a major impact on everything from used car prices to the pricing and availability of houses in the suburbs to the supply and demand of seats in private schools. But as much as the big cities are and will remain the uncontested domain of Democrat politicians you have to wonder what will happen as the unchecked crime in theses areas becomes a permanent condition.
Already it has had some impact on the politics in some of the biggest cities. New York has selected the closest thing to a law-and-order Democrat to be their next mayor. And the pop-eyed lesbian mayor of Chicago, Lori Lightfoot, has hinted that she might not run for re-election in two years. What she doesn’t mention is that she may be ridden out of town on a rail long before that if the current rate of murders in Chicago continues unabated.
What this is leading up to in my thought here is the question of whether there will be a turning point where the cities pull back from the madness or each just spirals down into a dysfunctional no-man’s land like Detroit or Baltimore. I think it might not be a uniform decision. As we see New York is starting to reverse course. But places like Portland and Minneapolis will probably stay the course and ride this wave right into the ground. A recent report stated that Minneapolis has seen a 60% increase in murder last year and just yesterday a woman’s headless body was found in a car on the street in one of the neighborhoods of Minneapolis indicating that we are well on the way to abject savagery.
My guess is that the crime epidemic will go a long way to consolidate the Republicans in the red states as fear of the blue city crime will favor no-nonsense candidates who take a pro-police stance and promise to protect the people living in the suburbs and rural areas from the roving gangs of urban thugs that have been unleashed by the cities. One thing that will be interesting to see is whether states like Georgia and Missouri decide to step in and clean up Atlanta and St. Louis. If things really spin out of control in those places I wonder if the state will take control of the police in those jurisdictions and override the local control. It would seem that it would be warranted on a civil rights basis if the people in these cities were shown to be suffering from criminal mismanagement.
I have no illusions about the blue states doing anything similar about their cities. They will convince themselves that this is all the result of white supremacists selling illegal guns to poor innocent gangbangers who just want to keep up with the fentanyl arms race that free enterprise necessitates. They can get their constituents to believe anything they tell them so they’ll just let the degeneration of their cities proceed and the elites will move to secured suburbs and everyone else will pay a price. But no price is too much to pay for equity, diversity and inclusion.
But what about the supposed purple states? Are there any states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, maybe Virginia that could see what’s going on and learn something about what’s wrong with the Left’s vision of the world? Could watching Philadelphia or Kenosha burned and looted and seeing their fellow citizens without police to protect them from merciless thugs in their own neighborhoods convince the “moderates” that backing the Left is a terrible mistake. The answer is no, I don’t believe it will. I think the sorting between the Left and Right has already occurred and those places are lost. But I could be wrong about that. I hope I am.
So that’s my take. The Antifa-BLM riots and the elimination of the urban police departments may very well serve as the object lesson that the red states need to formulate a strategy to protect themselves from the Obama insurrection. In fact, if it doesn’t then there really isn’t any hope for this country. Seeing the fate of our greatest cities and then witnessing the daily spectacle of old men and women being brutally beaten and sometimes killed while the police stand down and let it happen is all the warning we’ll ever get. We’ll soon enough know.