How Much of a Factor Will the Crime Epidemic Be?

I’m not completely sure how important an issue rampant crime will be in the political situation in America.  It’s already fueling an enormous flight from the major cities and that is having a major impact on everything from used car prices to the pricing and availability of houses in the suburbs to the supply and demand of seats in private schools.  But as much as the big cities are and will remain the uncontested domain of Democrat politicians you have to wonder what will happen as the unchecked crime in theses areas becomes a permanent condition.

Already it has had some impact on the politics in some of the biggest cities.  New York has selected the closest thing to a law-and-order Democrat to be their next mayor.  And the pop-eyed lesbian mayor of Chicago, Lori Lightfoot, has hinted that she might not run for re-election in two years.  What she doesn’t mention is that she may be ridden out of town on a rail long before that if the current rate of murders in Chicago continues unabated.

What this is leading up to in my thought here is the question of whether there will be a turning point where the cities pull back from the madness or each just spirals down into a dysfunctional no-man’s land like Detroit or Baltimore.  I think it might not be a uniform decision.  As we see New York is starting to reverse course.  But places like Portland and Minneapolis will probably stay the course and ride this wave right into the ground.  A recent report stated that Minneapolis has seen a 60% increase in murder last year and just yesterday a woman’s headless body was found in a car on the street in one of the neighborhoods of Minneapolis indicating that we are well on the way to abject savagery.

My guess is that the crime epidemic will go a long way to consolidate the Republicans in the red states as fear of the blue city crime will favor no-nonsense candidates who take a pro-police stance and promise to protect the people living in the suburbs and rural areas from the roving gangs of urban thugs that have been unleashed by the cities.  One thing that will be interesting to see is whether states like Georgia and Missouri decide to step in and clean up Atlanta and St. Louis.  If things really spin out of control in those places I wonder if the state will take control of the police in those jurisdictions and override the local control.  It would seem that it would be warranted on a civil rights basis if the people in these cities were shown to be suffering from criminal mismanagement.

I have no illusions about the blue states doing anything similar about their cities.  They will convince themselves that this is all the result of white supremacists selling illegal guns to poor innocent gangbangers who just want to keep up with the fentanyl arms race that free enterprise necessitates.  They can get their constituents to believe anything they tell them so they’ll just let the degeneration of their cities proceed and the elites will move to secured suburbs and everyone else will pay a price.  But no price is too much to pay for equity, diversity and inclusion.

But what about the supposed purple states?  Are there any states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, maybe Virginia that could see what’s going on and learn something about what’s wrong with the Left’s vision of the world?  Could watching Philadelphia or Kenosha burned and looted and seeing their fellow citizens without police to protect them from merciless thugs in their own neighborhoods convince the “moderates” that backing the Left is a terrible mistake.  The answer is no, I don’t believe it will.  I think the sorting between the Left and Right has already occurred and those places are lost.  But I could be wrong about that.  I hope I am.

So that’s my take.  The Antifa-BLM riots and the elimination of the urban police departments may very well serve as the object lesson that the red states need to formulate a strategy to protect themselves from the Obama insurrection.  In fact, if it doesn’t then there really isn’t any hope for this country.  Seeing the fate of our greatest cities and then witnessing the daily spectacle of old men and women being brutally beaten and sometimes killed while the police stand down and let it happen is all the warning we’ll ever get.  We’ll soon enough know.

The ZMan Has a Post About the Upcoming SCOTUS Cases

ZMan reviews the two rather important upcoming Supreme Court cases on abortion restrictions and gun rights that are expected to be decided this Fall.  The Mississippi case is reviewing the constitutionality of a 15 week maximum on the age of the unborn child before abortion becomes illegal.  The gun case has to do with the New York law that makes it impossible for a gun owner to transport his legal gun out side of his home.

 

https://thezman.com/wordpress/?p=23982

 

The ZMan is of the opinion that the Supreme Court will fold to left-wing pressure in both cases.  He thinks the threat of packing the court is sufficient to get the Roberts court to cringe in fear and do as they’re told by their masters.  He’s probably right.  Roberts is a coward and a fool.  He’s already proved that.

But the real question is the one that is implied by the assumed result of the decisions.  Will Mississippi or some other state that has put restrictions on abortion tell the federal government no?  It would be crossing the Rubicon.  Once a state tells the federal government, “No,” a lot of things could happen up to and including the feds arresting legislators and governors.

Will it happen?  Right now I’m not sure.  I don’t know enough about the men who run these states.  Are they ready for the eventuality?  Have they come up with another intermediate action that will provide a similar result?

Of course it’s easy for me to talk about important people throwing down against the most powerful human organization on the face of the earth as if it were just two men fighting over who gets a parking spot for his car.  Messing with Washington is very consequential.  The last time anyone tried was during the Civil Rights era and Washington came out on top.  Serious individuals would only cross the line if they had a very strong idea about how they could win that fight.

But we’ll all learn something important this Fall.  First off we’ll find out how cowardly and traitorous the Supreme Court really is when it crawls on its belly.  Next we’ll find out if any state has the strength to tell the feds to screw.  That’s something worth knowing.

Michael Anton Has a Post on Re-Drawing Some of the States

Over at the American Mind, Michael Anton has a long essay about the desirability of re-drawing the borders between some of the states and also allowing the states more independence to live their own way.  On paper it sounds great.  But how does it happen with the Left in charge of the federal government?

The only way I see this happening in reality is for one or more of the strong Red States to nullify the most unconstitutional federal laws and then make it stick.  I’m looking at you Ron DeSantis.

Merging Identity Politics with Color Blind Policies

The Dissident Right’s agenda is defined by two facts that they broadcast pretty constantly.  One is that the United States will soon be a minority majority voting population.  The other is that we are not going to vote our way out of the Left’s control.

The demographics of the first assertion seem very likely.  The second proposition revolves around the fact that other ethnicities will vote their own self interests and that they will be convinced that the Democrat agenda represents those self-interests.  I’m not going to state categorically that they are wrong on this second point.  After all, the Democrats get close to 90% of the black vote and the majority of the other non-white ethnic votes.  But even if we despair of winning the national vote for President, within the swing states it seems worthwhile to look at how the ethnic vote could be added to a coalition.

The first thing that should be admitted is that prying the black vote away from the Democrats, even in a Red State is probably an impossibility, at least for the foreseeable future.  And with the recent polarization caused by BLM and Antifa the real question concerning the black population is whether they will be willing to live peaceably with their neighbors at all.  But let’s look at the rest of the ethnic populations.

While it is true that the Democrats have managed to coopt the votes of the Asian and Latino voters pretty successfully in the past it is worth thinking about what the current political realities mean for this existing pattern.  And the woke political policies I mean to concentrate on is the current campaign to delegitimize the police and the reverse discrimination tactic called equity.

First the police.  Even in places like Portland OR and Minneapolis MN where the majority of the citizens are hopeless bug men who yearn for a society where muggers, rapists and murderers are judged not by their crimes but by the color of their skins I bet there is a very healthy sized population of normal people who yearn to escape from the madness of BLM protests and the associated lawless reign of terror.  And not so surprisingly I bet there are plenty of Asian and Latino people among them who wish this nightmare would end and life would return to normal.  And of course, there are black people living in this mess who also wish it would end but they’re stuck in their communities and that’s a problem for another day.  To my way of thinking the political message that should be broadcast to the ethnic communities is that living in a woke community means law enforcement cannot restrain the threat from criminals in the black community.

Next comes equity.  The easiest piece of equity to target is what it means for education.  The schools will be dumbed down to avoid “white supremacist ideas” like 2 + 2 = 4.  Some people will claim that only the Asian parents will respond to this second condition but I feel that even many Latino parents are unhappy with the prospect of sending their kids to be taught mush instead of STEM.  After all, even those illegals from Guatemala come here because there’s money to be made.  And they know that education is the key to advancement.

The reason this strategy should work with the non-black minority communities is because woke policies cater almost exclusively to one population, blacks.  And because of this it disadvantages all the rest of the ethnic groups, not just whites.  What other group benefits from black criminals being allowed to rampage through a city.  None.  Everyone else pays the price and it is a steep one.  A clever politician should be able to sell an anti-equity platform to everyone but the black population.

But let’s say that in the swing states the minorities stubbornly cling to the Democrat woke alliance.  Then it is doubly important that the Red States clearly declare that color blind impartiality is the rule for all state-run activities.  In fact, now that the feds and the Blue States have gone all in for “equity” it’s the perfect time to push things back all the way to total color blindness.  In other words, no more reverse discrimination, no more affirmative action, no more quotas, no nothing.  Push back is the right thing at this point.

So that’s the way I think these things should go.  But to do any of this we need real leaders with courage and brains.  We probably should recruit the Wizard of Oz to provide the gifts he gave the Cowardly Lion and the Scarecrow to all the Red State governors and legislators.  And while he’s at it he might as well give them a heart too.

Republicans Showing Signs of Intelligent Life on the State Level

Two state legislatures showed themselves willing to step in to curtail practices that do not align with the beliefs of the state’s citizens.  These actions certainly increase my opinion of them as places to live.

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LITTLE ROCK, Ark. – The Arkansas General Assembly has voted to override Gov. Asa Hutchinson’s veto of a bill that would ban certain medical treatments for transgender youth.

The vote came one day after the announcement of Hutchinson’s veto of HB1570, called the “SAFE Act” by its sponsors.

The vote in the Senate followed a quick vote by the Arkansas House. Both chambers originally passed the measure by wide margins.

The bill is now set to become state law 90 days after the end of the legislative session, which is currently scheduled for April 30.

During his weekly COVID-19 address, which was happening at the same time the debate and votes on the veto override, Hutchinson said he fully expected the legislature to reverse his decision.

 

When a conservative state has a RINO or at least a timid moderate as its governor it is comforting to see a legislature that takes its duties serious enough to defy him and quickly restore necessary legislation to their state.

 

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Boise, Idaho

…  Immediately after the initiative vote, the House took up SB 1179, the budget for the state’s four-year colleges and universities for next year, and in a highly unusual move, its sponsor, Rep. Paul Amador, R-Coeur d’Alene, urged House members to defeat it.

“Folks, this budget was drafted approximately six weeks ago,” Amador said, “what’s feeling right now an eternity ago. I think we all recognize that the grounds of the game have potentially changed.” Amador said he no longer believed the budget bill, which passed the Senate 27-6 on March 17, was the right budget to pass, and said JFAC will draft a new version.

Rep. Ron Nate, R-Rexburg, decried “social justice or critical race theory” being taught on campus. “It’s a systemic problem at our universities, it’s baked into the curriculum and the campus culture,” he said.

The proposed budget had cut $409,000 from Boise State University’s social justice programs; Nate said the cut should be more like “$4 million, for example.”

Rep. Dorothy Moon, R-Stanley, told the House, “We had the president of BSU come and talk to us about how wonderful things were going on campus, and we all knew different. … It is unbelievable what the students of Idaho have been going through, and they have been pleading with us.”

 

Here we see a legislature pass good legislation but because of changes to the federal funding to their state colleges they defeated the bill and plan to increase the budget cuts to punish these schools for their social justice curriculum and policies.  If more red states were as brave and intelligent as these examples we wouldn’t be as beleaguered as we currently find ourselves by the awful laws and institutions that assault us.

Results and Conclusions From the Poll in Fold, Flee or Fight

So here is what people said in the poll.

What's Your Guess For the Future of the United States?

View Results

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Almost a third of people said that more than twenty million people will flee the blue states for the red states.  That seems reasonable to me.  Another quarter of people said the Republicans will do absolutely nothing.  And about 40% of people said the red states will do something about the federal government’s unconstitutional overreach.  And among that 40%, 15% thought it would include secession.

Somewhat comfortingly, more people thought the red states would take action than thought that nothing at all will be done.

It’s very difficult to make any hard and fast conclusions from this poll other than that there seems to be a sense that the red states are where we hope to see some pushback against the Dems.  What it says to me personally is I should be looking for a new place to live in red state America as soon as its possible.  And if I’m smart, I should start lining something up even before I think I’m ready to go.  Things might change quickly at some point and “want” could turn to “need” really fast.

My own votes were for Flee (2) and Fight (2).  I guess I’m more pessimistic than some folks out there.  And actually, seeing that there are plenty of people more hopeful than myself makes me feel more hopeful than I was before the poll.

Thanks to everyone who participated.  This poll has clarified some of my thinking.  I am now convinced that the nothing good will happen at the national level.  I see the federal government going after our freedoms and punishing us every way they can.  The best hope we have of improving our lives in this country is finding a state or states that are willing to defy Washington and make their own policy on everything from social welfare to the Bill of Rights.

There is something very liberating about making a decision.  Concluding that the Right will not be able to pry the United States loose from the Woke Cult is a depressing realization.  But eliminating the indecision from my thinking makes the whole situation a net positive.  It is much worse to waste time and resources on a lost cause.

So, farewell Land of the Free and Home of the Brave.  Hello Brave New World that has such people in it.  Many horrible things await me and much sorrow but at least I’m heading in the right direction.  And as the Chinese Philosopher Lao Tse said, “A journey of a thousand li starts with a single step.”  Knowing which way to go is the beginning of that journey.

From now on I will give less attention to what the likes of Joe Biden and Nancy Pelosi and John Roberts are doing and saying and more attention to what Ron DeSantis and Kristi Noem are doing and saying.  Of course, there’s bound to be overlap but I won’t agonize about threats to the filibuster or Supreme Court packing or unconstitutional laws.  I assume that all that stuff will happen.  I’ll be more interested in how the free states react to those kinds of things.  Will someone stand up to this abuse.  That’s what I’m interested in.

 

Update – 20MAR2021

Looks like fight is almost at 50% now.

 

 

Will We Get a Gorbachev?

The Soviet Union was an abomination.  It tortured and killed its most loyal citizens on an industrial scale that had never before been seen.  And then it exported the formula abroad to places like China, Vietnam, Cambodia, Cuba and Venezuela.  Up until recently the legal apparatus in the United States specifically forbade the techniques and tactics that the Soviets used.  But with the passing of the Patriot Act and the weaponization of the Judiciary we have the ingredients needed to institute the purges that Stalin perfected in the 1930s and unleashed on his people to such devastating effect during his long and nightmarish reign.

As an example, look at the techniques used by the FBI and the Justice Department in conjunction with federal judges like the vicious thug Emmet Sullivan who persecuted General Michael Flynn even after the Justice Department admitted that they had no case against him and dropped the prosecution.  Or look at the recent imprisonment of the harmless protestors who were involved in the January 6th “riot.”  Here is the federal justice system imprisoning without bail harmless Americans who are much less dangerous than all of the Antifa and BLM criminals who are still rioting and destroying federal property in Portland, Oregon with impunity.

The Soviet Union finally reached a point after seventy years of torturing its citizens that it could not continue.  Decades of terror and insanity had finally killed off all belief in the system among the populace and this was terminal for the vitality of the state.  After all, once even the stupidest of the people know it’s all a sham, they stop caring about anything but getting through the day.  It finally reaches the point where life is characterized by the saying, “They pretend to pay us and we pretend to work.”  When a dispirited population that is barely kept alive on the meager output of their own slave labor is the basis for a supposed world power it doesn’t take forever before the whole thing just falls apart of its own accord.  The upkeep of nuclear weapons and the fighting of foreign wars requires dedication and  morale.  Terrorized slaves lack those qualities.

The United States and the Soviet Union are very different places.  And even granting that the power of the federal government augmented by its alliance with the tech companies like Google and Facebook is a frighteningly powerful force to wield against private citizens and even state officials.  But I still believe there will be a reaction to this attempt to subjugate the free people of this country by the thugs who are attempting to use the Stalinist playbook against us.  Americans are not Russian serfs.  They have a history of being free.

I have no proof that there exists a base of people in one of the red states that will stand up against these thugs.  But I think it will happen.  And if it happens at all it will inspire a groundswell of the same resistance in a thousand places.  And that will put an end to these creatures.  Because if the American people ever get their freedom back again, they’ll take steps to put an end to the laws and individuals that have allowed this tyranny to exist.  They’ll cancel the Patriot Act.  They’ll shut down the FBI and start from scratch.  They’ll put every one of the FBI and CIA and media hacks who lied and persecuted innocent men during the whole Russiagate witch hunt on trial.  Comey and Brennan and the rest of the Obama cronies will be thrown into prison and left to rot.  And then we should empty the federal judicial bench all the way up to the Supreme Court and replace them with citizens who have worked for a living and even if they’ve never been inside a courtroom, they would be better judges of their fellow citizens than all these ivy league intellectuals who let us suffer under the current regime.

For me the only question is who will light the match?  Will we have to wait until our country is falling apart at the seams before we get our Gorbachev?  I hope not.

Talking to Your Normie Friends About the Future

Lately I’ve found that more and more people have awakened to the reality of Post America.  Well, they have and they haven’t.  They look out in horror on President Dementia Joe and his razor wire wall around DC and want to know what happened.  But when they talk about their hopes, they talk about taking back the House and the Senate during the mid-terms and the Supreme Court defending our constitutional rights in the meantime.  Yep.

My favorite is how, “If we can only find the right presidential and vice-presidential candidates in 2024, why things will straighten right out.”  One guy was explaining to me that a Nikki Haley / Tim Scott ticket was the magic bullet to Republican dominance for decades to come.

Look, I’m not trying to belittle these people.  I was one of them back in the George W Bush days.  All we had to do was get one more seat on the Supreme Court and all this lefty stuff would just go away.  Well, that’s not really how it works I found out.  George W Bush gave us John Roberts.  What we wanted and what he gave us were two very different things.  It took Barack Obama and Donald Trump for me to see what was really going on.  And don’t forget John McCain, Mitt Romney, Justice Kennedy, Little Marco Rubio, Nikki Haley, JEB! Bush, John Kasich, Chris Christie, Bill Barr, Mitch McConnell, Liz Cheney, Jeff Flake and on and on and on.

So, I understand where they are coming from.  But it’s not helping anyone to humor them about this stuff.  Just tell them the truth.  Even if every RINO is expelled and we nominate every color of the rainbow coalition for Congress and the White House we aren’t going to vote our way out of this.

What will help is acknowledging that the Democrats have now stooped to massive election fraud and because of that Joe Biden is an illegitimate president.  Saying that out loud is part of the solution.  And because several other elections were rigged, specifically the two in Georgia, the Democratic senate majority is also illegitimate.  Which means all the laws passed by the Senate and President are also illegitimate.  And since the Supreme Court is allowing Biden’s unconstitutional executive orders to stand, we cannot expect any relief from any of the three branches of the federal government.

And acknowledging all of this and taking it as the status quo allows someone to think about what it will take to escape the consequences of this reality.  And that is where I try to bring my normie friends.  I finish off by saying that when all is said and done, the only power centers left on our side are the red states.  If anyone is going to resist the tyrants in the federal government who are systematically removing all of our rights it will have to be the legislature and governors of the biggest red states.

But I won’t pretend that any of this is a certainty.  It will take incredible courage on the part of a red state governor to thumb his nose at the Justice Department and FBI.  I don’t put anything past those government thugs.  A man would be taking his freedom and even his life in his hands resisting that power.  I think we have only a 50/50 chance.

But I think it’s important to tell people where we stand.  It’s better to know the truth instead of always wondering why we always lose.  Because if we finally are defeated there is still the chance to leave and find a better place.  And that may come.  But to even have that chance you need to know what’s what.  And you need to know when it’s over.

So that’s “the talk” I give my normie friends.  Let me know if you have a version of this and how it differs from mine.  I’m always interested in comparing notes.

Oklahoma Tells Dementia Joe to Pound Sand and Returns to Constitutional Governance

How great is this?

The Oklahoma state House has passed a bill that would allow the state attorney general and legislature to declare federal laws and executive orders issued under Democratic President Joe Biden as unconstitutional.

The bill, HB 1236, would allow the Oklahoma attorney general to review any executive orders, congressional laws or federal agency rules to see if they violate the U.S. Constitution. If the attorney general doesn’t oppose them, then the state legislature could do so through a majority vote.”

Finally we’re starting to see the red states say enough.  Thank you Oklahoma.

Texas Joins Florida in Tackling Social Media Bias and De-Platforming of the Right

Governor Abbott of Texas has joined Governor DeSantis of Florida in calling for state legislation to rein in anti-right bias in the social media platforms.  Let’s hope they coordinate their efforts to enact the same legislation and then share it with the rest of the red states.  I’d love to see these states sue the pants off Google, Facebook and Twitter among others.  While they’re at it they might as well look at what Amazon is doing with banning books.  They’ve got a whole lot of money that could really help a lot of state rainy day funds.  You could build a lot of roads and bridges with what Bezos spends on the Washington Post every year.

So here’s hoping this is the beginning of a beautiful friendship between the red state governors and their legislatures.  May a thousand law suits bloom and bleed the social media companies dry.