The Merry-Go-Round Spins On

One thing that eventually gets drummed into you by sad experience is that there’s no such thing as happily ever after.  And that’s because no matter how well things are going, whenever chance conspires against us there are those who will capitalize on the opportunity and confuse the weak minded and tempt the weak willed to drag the country through more hell.  And the only things that will get you through the crisis are steady nerves, dogged determination and enough brains to think your way out of the trap.

I would characterize our present situation as exactly that.  The election and the COVID-19 epidemic are a perfect storm that will require remarkable skills to navigate successfully.  Add to this the investigations into Flynn and the other Russia-gate abuses and you have a high stakes pressure cooker, the outcome of which, absolutely no one can predict.  Look at all the possible consequences of these actions.  With respect to the investigations under Barr the outcomes range from zero to infinity.  At the zero end Durham decides that although laws were broken, the actions were in good faith and the only corrective actions should be stepped up internal oversight of sensitive operations.  At infinity we have prison terms for everyone from Lisa Page to Barack Obama.  That’s quite a range of outcomes.  Then look at the election.  So many lives have been disrupted by this emergency that trying to compensate everyone for the harm done by the shutdown is well-nigh impossible.  But the President has to make a good faith effort to do just that.  He must convince these people that his administration is the best hope for restoring the devastated middle class and that the Democrats will use this catastrophe to establish the welfare state they’ve always wanted.  And I think he will do just that and get re-elected handily.

But here is the point of this whole post.  Even if President Trump is able to achieve all the objectives on his plate.  If he gains the confidence of the voting public and gains re-election, if he restores the economy to growth and saves the small businessmen, if Barr uncovers the smoking gun and sends the Coup to prison for a couple of decades, if the Republicans capture the House, hold the Senate and add one more solid conservative vote to the Supreme Court, if the Justice Department sues the Tech Giants into restoring free speech to the Right, if all these things happen we are still exactly one disaster away from losing everything to the Left.

What we have to remember is that we’re always fighting a defensive war.  The Left has already won all the battles in the culture and we’re just curled up in a defensive crouch waiting for the next blow to fall.  The only way we will ever change the balance of power is to go on the offense and attack something of theirs.  What it will require is coordination between the Federal and State governments to pick a target and inflict a defeat on the Left that will be so unpleasant that it will elicit an overreaction that will provide the opportunity for a reinforcing defeat.  Now what this target will be is open for debate.  My thought is it should be in a deep red state that has a blue city located in it.  It could be a sanctuary city and the target could be illegal alien employment by big businesses.  A partnership between ICE and the state government could arrange for a mass arrest of illegal aliens at a large company and the Federal government could use the evidence to punish the corporation so ruthlessly that the rest of the companies panic and get their houses in order.  Once the jobs disappear the Federal government steps in and comes up with some moderate and humane way to get the illegals to go home to their lands.

Once the operation against illegal aliens in the workplace begins all the Blue States will erupt into rage and all kinds of protests will occur.  If some jurisdiction in one of the Blue States overreacts and gives the Federal government an excuse to punish them that will be the second defeat that I see as reinforcing the Left’s despair.

But it doesn’t have to be immigration.  Suppose Texas legislates against gay marriage and the Supreme Court upholds it.  Think of the insanity that would break out.  All the Blue States would then vote to unrecognize the normal marriages of citizens in Texas.  They would break off all economic trade with Texas and do any number of other stupid things for which they would suffer.  And once the Supreme Court fails to find a constitutional right for gay marriage then almost immediately about twenty states will make laws against it too.  And that would be wonderful.  We would have a de facto division of the United States into two zones.  We could call them the Normal States and Queer States.  And that would be just the start.  Abortion laws, obscenity laws, sodomy laws and other social issues would be fodder for further differences between the two camps.  And the beauty of it is no one in the Blue States is being forced to do anything they don’t want to.  The upshot should be to make the Blue States bluer and the Red States redder.  Now that’s diversity even I can stand behind.

18MAY2020 – OCF Update

Good morning folks.  As we rapidly approach summer I have had the chance to confirm certain things I believed.  The shutdown was a terrible idea foisted upon us by incompetents.  The at-risk population was the elderly and especially the chronically ill.  We have crippled our economy and possibly permanently decimated the small businesses of our independent middle class with nothing to show for it.  Very soon the Democrats will attempt to blame President Trump for doing the things they were shouting for him to do and not doing the things they forbade him to do.  So be it.  It’s his task to expose them as the liars they are.  It’s ours to support him.

One thing this whole sad spectacle has exposed is that there are way too many overweight and out of shape Americans.  Part of that is the result of an elderly baby boomer bulge in the population and the higher life expectancy today.  But our sedentary life style is extremely unhealthy.  And even a chronically lazy man such as myself will now endeavor to mend my ways.  At this point dying of the corona virus would be just too much insult to injury.

So now the part of the COVID-19 story that will interest me will be how President Trump revitalizes the areas of the country that might vote for him.  Of course he’ll want all areas to rebound but the Northeast is going out of its way to cripple its own economy by stretching out the lockdown.  He should preferentially help areas where his voters live.  And the rust belt states that got him elected should get special attention.  Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin.  Add in Arizona, Nevada, Colorado and maybe New Mexico and you’ve covered the areas where the President wants to add to supporters.

The Northeast has no electoral votes for him.  They should have the same opportunities to recover as the rest of the country but the President should direct those voters to the governors who shut their businesses down and continue to block efforts to restore life to their economies.  If they expect to escape the consequences of terrible judgement they might want to rethink their allegiance to the Left.

Surprisingly, the DOJ investigations seem to be active.  Maybe I was wrong about Barr.  Time will tell.  As far as Biden’s campaign, I think the Left can’t decide if it’s time to pull the plug by supporting Tara Reade’s story.  They are holding onto it as an insurance policy to switch candidates at the last minute.  We’ll know the moment has arrived when the networks and the newspapers suddenly discover her story’s credibility.

Looks like we’ll have a busy time ahead.  As always feel free to leave your thoughts in the comments sections.  Hard as it is to believe, there may be opinions other than my own that could be heard.

Eastern milk snake, Lampropeltis triangulum triangulum, A Short Photo study

I found this yearling eastern milk snake near a stone wall.

Eastern milk snake, Lampropeltis triangulum triangulum
Eastern milk snake, Lampropeltis triangulum triangulum
Eastern milk snake, Lampropeltis triangulum triangulum

Milk snakes are very valuable creatures because they eat mice.  Being in the kingsnake clan they also eat snakes.  The eastern subspecies in Massachusetts is supposedly the largest representative of the species.  I’ve only seen a few on the property but am encouraged that they have shown up.  I lay down sheet metal in areas where it will be warmed by the morning or afternoon sun in hopes that snakes will slide under it and soak up the warmth.  That is a good way to find them.

Reality Reasserts Itself

Naturam expellas furca, tamen usque recurret, et mala perrumpet furtim fastidia victrix.

You may drive nature out with a pitchfork, but she will keep coming back, victorious over your ignorant confident scorn.

― Horace

Bill DeBlasio and Andrew Cuomo can pontificate all they’d like about the dangers of the COVID-19 virus and threaten dire consequences for those who break the social distancing rules but summer weather is coming to New York City and a modern paraphrase of old Horace is that, for the young, the Law of the 3B’s (Beaches, Bikinis and Booze) trumps all others.  See the linked scenes of decidedly out of shape New Yorkers frolicking on the beaches of Jersey and Manhattanites gathering on the streets to drink beer and socialize regardless of proximity and decidedly sans masks.

If the idiots in Gracey Mansion and the Albany State House want to do something useful, what they should be thinking about is how to meaningfully protect the truly at risk, namely, the grandparents of those young people who will succumb to the virus if exposed.  Over the course of the long hot summer it would be a good idea to provide the elderly currently living in households that include people who aren’t maintaining quarantine an option to temporarily remove themselves to a group environment where strict quarantine is being practiced.  Considering how many assisted living residents have died during this epidemic it should be possible for the state to charter the empty rooms for people who are afraid they’re at risk due to proximity to the young and healthy who will carry the virus without even knowing it.

The problem is DeBlasio and Cuomo are broke.  They haven’t the cash (or brains) needed to implement a plan to actually help the situation.  All they’re capable of is grandstanding, threatening and emoting in front of the camera.  And now that policing social distancing has been racialized by the usual suspects the NYPD will stop bothering about it.  When the majority of the non-elderly discover that they won’t die from going to the local bar it won’t take long before most of city life falls back into the normal pattern.  And once that happens the percentage of people with COVID-19 antibodies will reach the herd resistance threshold pretty quickly.

I’m guessing that the northeastern states won’t do anything really constructive for the elderly.  They actually have a vested interest in maintaining the COVID-19 scamdemic as long as possible.  But New York City has successfully killed off the majority of the vulnerable elderly already (see graph below).

But now that a number of states are ending the shutdown we should know in just a few weeks whether the dire warnings from the Left are accurate or overblown.  That means by early June we’ll know where we stand.  Maybe I’ll have to eat my words and acknowledge that the Faucis and Birxes were right, that the COVID-19 virus is the apocalypse and we’ll all have to become wards of the welfare state forever.  But somehow I don’t think that’s the case.  I predict by July I’ll be hosting the photog clan to a barbecue and poolside party.  I better go add some chlorine to the pool.

Cleanup Day On My Computer Bookmarks

Today was a big day.  I was able to assure myself that the shape of the daily death curve is unmistakably trending down.  Undoubtedly they’ll keep adding the normal dead to the total but even that hasn’t made a difference.  So in honor of the occasion I deleted my links to the corona virus web pages for Worldometer and Johns Hopkins University.  Good riddance!

Now the only COVID-19 info I care about is getting the economy back on track and our manufacturing capacity out of the Land of the COVID virus.