Tag: gay marriage

When Will the Supreme Court Overturn Obergefell v. Hodges?

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Hillary Clinton thinks the Supreme Court will overturn Obergefell v. Hodges (the decision that discovered the right to gay marriage in the US Constitution) before the 2026 election.

I think she is drawing an analogy from the fact that the Supreme Court struck down Roe v. Wade in June of 2022 in advance of the November 2022 mid-term elections.  Of course, there could be blowback from this decision that affects the midterms.  It might even cause the loss of the House of Representatives.  But you know, I kind of doubt it.  I think it’s a mistake to wait to make these decisions.  The future is uncertain and the opportunity that exists may be temporary.  What’s the expression?  “Strike while the iron is hot.”

Throwing abortion and gay marriage back under the jurisdiction of the states sort of takes the monolithic nature of the decisions away.  After all, the blue states will continue on without change and the red states will probably put it on the ballot and let their own people decide (well, except for very, very red states where it will be banned by their legislatures and governors).  I wonder if there might even be some states that allow gay marriage but forbid the adoption of children by these “families.”

Now I guess it’s possible that the Supreme Court might wait until after the midterms.  And it’s even possible that the court might uphold Obergefell v. Hodges.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see John Roberts vote to uphold it.  But I think the votes are there to overturn it.  And this brings up another case; Lawrence v. Texas.  This was the decision that made homosexuality a protected constitutional practice.  Is it probable that this decision would also be reconsidered?  Maybe it’s too much to hope for but since we’re seeing fifty-year precedents overturned why not this relatively recent ruling too?

You know, it’s not every day that I find myself in agreement with something Hillary Clinton says.  But in this particular case I think she’s correct.  I think the court will rule on Obergefell v. Hodges in 2026 and let the voters sort out how they want their states to stand on gay marriage.  And in the long run that is the healthiest way for these things to be handled.  We’re supposed to be living under a federal Constitution that allows most of the power to remain with the sovereign states.  Thinking that California and Mississippi would have the same opinions on abortion and gay marriage is ludicrous. But in the same way as many ludicrous actions have been taken by the federal government over the last half century and are now being adjusted it only makes sense that the Supreme Court is also going through a reevaluation of unjustified decisions that strayed well beyond the bounds of Constitutional authority and created laws that had no right being written.

My hope is that this trend continues and that President Trump has the chance to appoint several more justices to ensure that the conservative majority is protected and even increased over the next three and a half years.  And in fact, I hope he has the opportunity to replace many Democratic federal judges with conservatives, especially in the blue districts like Washington DC, the Northeast and the west coast.  But my thanks to Hillary for bringing this opinion to my attention.  It brought a smile to my face.  Now how often has she done that?  As far as I can remember not since 2016.

If This Goes On … Then What? – Part 2

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One of the most distinctive aspects of the Left’s agenda is their devotion to deviant sexuality.  The so-called LGBTQ agenda has become the most important cause for the global elites around the world.  And the extremes to which this agenda will go to silence dissent knows no bounds.  Currently deviating from the new rules on “pronouns” can get you fired from your job, thrown off the internet and in certain states hauled into court.

Worse still, in places like California there are laws that will allow the state to sexually mutilate your children against your will.  Pediatric transitioning is a multi-billion-dollar industry that is based on the premise that pre-teens can know that they need to be changed into members of the opposite sex based on an innate feeling that they were born into the wrong body.  So, kids who aren’t assumed to be responsible enough to drink beer or get a tattoo somehow know what it will be like to be an adult of the opposite sex and can judge that the horrific surgeries needed to simulate this transition and the pain and suffering that they will experience for the rest of their lives, will be a reasonable course of action.

Needless to say, this is a revolutionary movement that flies in the face of sanity, decency and the rock bottom human instinct to preserve children from harm.  And finally, a reaction against it is beginning to appear around the country, most powerfully in Florida where Governor Ron DeSantis has led the charge against grammar school teachers and school board members grooming children for acceptance of the LGBTQ madness.  And Florida and some other states are even outlawing so-called “gender-affirming medical procedures” or more accurately, puberty blocking drugs, trans-sex hormones and sexual mutilation of children.

So, there is some hope.  Things could turn around and other aspects of the LGBTQ agenda could be reversed.  One possibility for this involves the Supreme Court reversing the gay marriage decision and even reversing the finding for a constitutional right to homosexual behavior.  But none of these things are clear one way or the other.  Once again, we are in a gray zone where things can go either way.  What are the possible outcomes?

The worse case scenario is the complete victory of the LGBTQ movement with pediatric transitioning becoming the law of the land and even pedophilia decriminalized.  This is the eventual victory that the deviants have been working toward all along.  This would render America an abomination that would cry out for the biblical reckoning that Sodom earned.

I think the middle scenario is the establishment in certain states of laws protecting children from the LGBTQ agenda.  The banning of pediatric transitioning and the strengthening of parental rights to prevent schools and other surrogates from proselytizing children into these deviant lifestyles would represent a specific line in the sand that could provide some sort of brake on the race to the bottom that we currently see going on in our society.

The best-case scenario would be a combination of several fortunate occurrences.  If the Supreme Court were to reverse the decisions on gay marriage and the constitutional protection for homosexual behavior this would provide the red states with the basis for rolling back a whole host of problems that plague our current society.  For me one of the best results would be not having to see the acronym LGBTQIA used everywhere I look.  Also, the term drag queen story hour would disappear from the lexicon except among weirdos in places like California and New York.  In other words, life would become a little like a paradise, relatively speaking.

Alright, here’s the moment of truth.  Which future do I think most likely?

Once again, I think the middle path most likely.  Protecting children is a pretty basic instinct.  I think in most places it will put a stop to the worst excesses of the sexual revolution.  At least that’s my guess.

Which one do you think will happen?

How Will the LGBTQ Culture War Be Resolved?

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Very Sad. No, Actually Hilarious.

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San Francisco and soon California will drop their boycott of red states because it was costing them billions of dollars in higher contract costs.  Apparently now it’s okay for these states to have laws that don’t come up to California standards on abortion, deviant sex and voting requirements.

These laws were put in place back in 2016 after the Supreme Court mandated gay marriage and most states weren’t happy about it.  I think those thirty states should return the favor and boycott California.  After all what’s good for the goose is sauce for the gander.

Church of England No Longer Leads Worldwide Anglican Church

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So the Archbishop of Canterbury has finally stepped over a line that actual Christians won’t tolerate.  Allowing the blessing of same sex “marriages” was the bridge too far.  Seventy five percent of the worldwide Anglicans have voted with their feet and have pulled the plug on the leadership of the Church of England under the Archbishop.

“A group of Anglican church leaders from around the world have ousted the Archbishop of Canterbury as their head following the decision to allow the blessing of same-sex couples in England.

The Global South Fellowship of Anglican Churches (GSFA) has said in a statement that it no longer considers Justin Welby to be ‘leader of the global communion’, and it has ‘disqualified’ the Church of England from being its ‘mother church’.

Earlier this month, the General Synod – the Church of England’s legislative assembly – passed a motion to allow the blessing of same-sex couples in civil partnerships.

The GSFA said it speaks for 75% of Anglicans around the world, officially representing 25 member provinces – mainly in Asia, Latin America and Africa.

In its statement released on Monday, the group accused the Church of England of ‘taking the path of false teaching’ and going against ‘the historical biblical faith’ by allowing same-sex blessings, adding: ‘This breaks our hearts.'”

All I can think to say is finally!  If actual Christians start doing this everywhere the hierarchy has descended into depravity it will be a relief to the flock.  The next shoe to fall will be the Roman Catholics when Anti-Pope Francis comes out of the closet as Trans-Pope Francine I.

It really is time for Christians to clearly separate themselves from the likes of the fake Christian churches like the Episcopalians and the various other denominations that have descended into atheism in the pulpit.

Christians have a book of rules, it’s called the Bible and it doesn’t take a genius to see that the current crop of religious leaders are not Christians.  They’re woke bureaucrats.  Let them stay in the empty churches and let actual Christians band together to make a community of families who want to recognize all the traditional truths.  That, “God made them male and female.”  And He said “be fruitful and multiply.”  Let them have their LGBTQ church with transgender monstrosities and twelve pride months a year.  Just leave us out.

Will the Supreme Court Restore the Constitution?

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I read the Alito opinion.  I listened in the news to the fears of the Left about future decisions on other unconstitutional decisions.  And I think they may have a good reason to be afraid.  If this court was willing to overturn Roe v. Wade, then there isn’t any additional justification needed to overturn other unconstitutional laws.

The lack of constitutional grounds to declare gay marriage a national right is exactly the same as the problem with making abortion a right.  And some things are even easier to attack.  Affirmative action is actually prohibited by a constitutional amendment.  It was even acknowledged to be unconstitutional the last time it was allowed to stand by the Supreme Court.  Each of these examples of judicial malpractice can be addressed in exactly the same way as Roe v. Wade.  The question is will these justices continue to display the courage they seem to have right now?

I think they will.  And I think we’ll have the answer to the question in July.  That’s when the decision on Roe v. Wade is supposed to be announced.  If the five justices manage to stand up to the barrage of intimidation and character assassination that they are currently receiving then I think they’ll be hardened enough to move forward to other areas of the law where equally unconstitutional decisions have been made before.

I find this possibility exhilarating.  For my whole adult life, I have watched the Supreme Court create unjust laws and then fail to reverse those decisions when the chance to do so arose.  Justices named by Reagan, George Bush Sr. and George Bush Jr. were touted as conservatives and almost invariably turned out to be liberals.  But now, so many years later it looks like we’re there.  And half the thanks have to go to Mitch McConnell and Donald Trump, two men who cannot stand each other.  I find that highly ironic.  But I won’t look this gift horse in the mouth.  It’s too valuable.

Now, I’m fully aware that more than half of you are rolling your eyes and thinking, “What a hopeless optimist!”  And I can’t blame you.  We’ve been down this road so many times before that it’s completely understandable that most folks don’t want to get fooled again.  It’s just like that cartoon of Lucy pulling the football away from Charlie Brown just as he’s ready to kick it.  And ends up flat on his back.  For the last year I’ve been very doubtful that the Supreme Court would go all the way and overturn Roe altogether.  I figured they’d approve the fifteen-week limit in Mississippi and leave it at that.  But apparently, they’ve gotten together the backbone to admit the truth of the situation and make an honest ruling.  And that’s amazing.

So, if in July they back down and issue a watered-down decision I’ll openly admit my foolishness.  I’ll admit that we can’t “vote our way out of this.”  But if I’m right then I’ll expect the same admission from the skeptics and dissidents that say there’s no hope of turning things around.  And you know who you are out there.

Vox Day Links to an Interesting Article About the Methodists Rejecting Gay Marriage and Clergy

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It seems that the only thing that prevented the changes was that the African delegates were unafraid to say that these changes did not reflect the Christian message.  Unexpected consequences of the left’s favorite buzz words diversity and globalism.

http://voxday.blogspot.com/2019/02/africa-saves-methodists.html

 

Counting My Chickens Before They’re Hatched

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An enormous amount of digital ink has been spilled in the last week or so about the coming Supreme Court vacancy and who might fill it and how that will play out.  And these are truly momentous questions involving nuances of political strategy that could change the balance of the Senate political make-up.  In other words, really hot stuff and absolutely chock full of fat-soluble vitamins.

But let’s jump the gun and talk about some really exciting things.  Let’s assume for the sake of argument that the Senate manages to keep their act together and approve an actual conservative replacement for Anthony Kennedy.  And let’s further assume for the sake of argument that John Roberts isn’t the Manchurian Justice that he seemed to be during the Obamacare deliberation.  Then, what are the possible constitutional questions that could allow the new conservative majority to show its quality?  Let’s make a list.

  • I think the least likely early result of the new majority would be a test of Roe v. Wade. This is the thermonuclear case and I believe it will be a while before SCOTUS tackles something so controversial.  After all, energizing the female vote against Republicans during the beginning of a conservative court majority would threaten the ability of a very narrow Senate majority right before the mid-terms.  So I think this will wait at least a year or more.
  • I think the most likely early test of this new majority will be a revisiting of the gay marriage vs. religious freedom question. And here is where I think that the Court will score an easy victory.  I would be shocked if the Court does not hand a complete victory to religious tradespeople who object to being forced to participate in homosexual weddings.  In my estimation this will be a great morale booster for conservatives and a well-deserved rebuke for the brown shirts in the LGBTQ
  • Removing the Constitutional mandate for gay marriage would be a very bold move. Seeing that this would directly attack the precedent set by Anthony Kennedy just a few years ago it would represent a refutation of the narrative that has been developing in the Courts for the last twenty five years.  But I think it would be the smart thing to do.  Unlike Roe v. Wade, the shortness of time that has passed since the precedent was set limits the disruption caused by allowing the individual states to pass their own laws on either side of this issue.  The Federal government could even restore the Defense of Marriage Act if it was politically expedient.  And there is a real grass roots appeal to allow states that don’t favor the homosexual life style to have their say.
  • Questions about the Constitutionality of Affirmative Action should be front and center in this Court. Even past verdicts by the Supreme Court when more liberal justices were represented recognized the contradictory nature of a clearly discriminatory practice sanctioned by the United States Government.  It is long past the point where reverse discrimination makes even bad sense.  And the way the Left has used it to weaponize identity politics against the white population needs to be shut down before it does anymore harm to the unity of the country.
  • The constitutionality of the Patriot Act and other post 9-11 security over-reaches need to be reconsidered. The recent actions by the FBI and the other intelligence gathering agencies highlights the runaway nature of these intrusions on privacy and an originalist interpretation will go a long way toward re-evaluating the current imbalance favoring law enforcement over due process.
  • And a final major item that could be adjudicated is the Constitutional protection for homosexuality. That was another constitutional protection discovered by Justice Kennedy.  Here is another social question that used to be a state matter until the Supreme Court overstepped.

So, this merely my speculation.  What do you think?  What’s your logic?  Leave a vote.

 

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Who Has the Math?

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Is John McCain alive or dead?  If alive, can he vote?  Which way would he vote?  After all he does love to spoil things.  Assuming he will not be a factor, is Susan Collins the weak link?  If she is, can she be persuaded?  Is she up for re-election?  What other republican votes are question marks?  Could Manchin from West Virginia be convinced to vote against his party?  If we don’t have the votes how likely is it that the mid-terms will increase the Republican Senate Majority?  Should we try now and then after the mid-terms?

These are a few of the question that would need to be answered before trying to figure out if and/or when a conservative justice could get through the Senate.

And the other big question is whether Roberts is a ringer.  Does he need to be outvoted too?  If that’s the case we’ll need Ginsberg to go too.

So, as with all things Washingtonian, there are wheels within wheels and waiting is an integral part of the game.  But so far Trump has a pretty good track record of getting the luck.  If he gets a good man in then we can hope to know the answer to some of the Roberts questions pretty quickly.  And if Roberts does turn out to be a ringer that’ll be just one more reason to distrust all things Bush and celebrate dodging the JEB! bullet almost as much as the Hillary one.

So, my guess, McConnell will spend a little time doing his math and making sure he completely understands the dynamic.  Now that he and President Trump have normalized their relationship I expect they’ll coordinate carefully on the when and the how.  They may spring it pretty quickly when it’s time and not give the Media or the Dems a lot of time to screech.  McConnell indicated the vote would be in the fall.  Maybe that’s a ruse.  Maybe they’ll surprise everyone and do it before Labor Day.  I’m not an expert on the machinery of the Senate so I don’t know how likely that is.  My guess is McCain may be an important piece of the puzzle.  His wife is touted to be in line for the job when he dies.  How this affects the vote is anybody’s guess but my bet is that she’s a lib.  For that reason, they may not wait for her to be seated.

Okay, so that’s the horse race.  Now, why is this so damn important?  Well, because if Roberts isn’t a ringer and we get another Gorsuch or Alito then we will have the first conservative Supreme Court since before I was born.  In fact, we haven’t had a truly conservative Supreme Court in over a hundred years.  Can you imagine if SCOTUS decides that all the Constitutional mandates that the activists judges have discovered over the last fifty years (abortion, gay rights, gay marriage, affirmative action, federal encroachment on States’ Rights, assaults on the First and Second Amendments) are not?  And instead throws these decisions back to the states to decide?  That would be a revolution.  It would mean that instead of one homogeneous culture there would be several.  And that might be the beginning of a great unraveling.  Or it might be the occasion for a rethinking of many policies that were thrust onto the people from above by an elite that thought it was the best and the brightest and therefore ought to prevail against the will of the people.  In places like Texas, Utah and the Old South more conservative populations would be allowed to live the way they wanted without the federal government harassing and scolding them for their values.  To my mind that would come very close to restoring America to its essential virtue, a place where you are free to live the way you want without the government constantly interfering.  And that sounds more or less like heaven to me.  So, here’s hoping the math works out.  Let’s hope the final sum is a positive.  I’m tired of negative.

 

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