Tag: Ukraine

A Segment of the Left is Growing Afraid of the Ukraine War

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It looks like the narrative of “fight to the last Ukrainian” is losing ground to the reality of what war with Russia will actually entail.  The NY Times, the establishment paper of record is beginning to question the wisdom of confronting Russia without limit.

NY Times shifts pro-war narrative

Even among leftists there is a limit to self-delusion.  Thinking about the consequences of baiting a nuclear power unnecessarily gives pause for even such true believers as the denizens of the Gray Lady.  Maybe there is hope that the stupidity of the Biden State Department will be reined in by whoever is actually running the country.  But I wouldn’t depend on our luck holding out until then.  Best to lay in a supply of iodine pills.

 

 

Russians End Gas Supply to Europe

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Russia announced a week ago that after the economic sanctions that had been levelled against it would demand to be paid in rubles for all gas deliveries into Europe.  After the Europeans refused it was assumed the Russians would back down.  It appears that was mistaken.

“After European nations imported the most gas from Russian sources yesterday in months, scrambling to stock up on supplies as Russian President Vladimir Putin’s deadline to either pay for gas in rubles (or be cut off) came and went, Russian gas giant Gazprom has officially halted all deliveries to Europe via the Yamal-Europe pipeline, a critical artery for European energy supplies.”

This is a very interesting situation.  Will Germany back down and pay Russia in rubles?  Will this signal the beginning of negotiations between NATO and Russia?  Will Biden advise Zelensky to negotiate a quick settlement?  We shall see.

Hunter Biden and Bioweapons Labs in Ukraine?

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After reading this article in the New York Post nothing can seem improbable any more.  So between bouts of smoking crack cocaine and indulging in demented sex with state funded prostitutes Hunter Biden managed to find the time to find funding for US bioweapons labs and hook them up with his friends at Burisma, the Ukrainian petroleum corporation.

This story which the Russians are trumpeting is corroborated in the e-mails found on the infamous Hunter Biden laptop.  You know, if nothing comes of these revelations then there truly is no hope for this country.  If our citizenry is so brain dead that they aren’t outraged to the point of revolt by these revelations then there’s no reason to think they ever will.

Our government is run by crooks.  And they’re not even smart crooks.  They’re caricatures of stupid gangsters.  But if we permit all of this then we’re an order of magnitude more stupid.  Words fail me.  Bring on the deluge.

Joe Biden Calls for Regime Change in Russia

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Vladimir Putin is a ruthless war-mongering autocrat.  He is feared and loathed by millions.  But somehow Joe Biden manages to expose one of Putin’s positive traits.  Unlike Joe Biden he is not a pathologically lying weasel.  He means what he says.  And after listening for the last year to nothing but pathetic lies from Dementia Joe and his lackeys about every aspect of the train wreck that is Joe Biden’s America it’s almost refreshing to hear a dictator openly say that he is going to do something awful and frightening without pretending it’s something else.

Tonight, Biden gave a speech in Warsaw, Poland.  At the end he did one of his little play-acting riffs where he pretends to get angry and emotional and said, “For God’s sake, this man cannot remain in power.”  Well, beside the fact that it seems very unlikely that Joe Biden has any concern for God, I don’t see how Biden gassing off about Putin falling from power does the least good for the Ukrainians, the Poles or anyone else.

Then there are the hypocrisies.  Earlier in the speech he says, “A dictator bent on rebuilding an empire will never erase a people’s love for liberty.   Brutality will never grind down their will to be free.”  So, if this is true why are the Uighurs being ground down by their Chinese rulers and why is Joe Biden unwilling to help them or even call the Chinese out for this much greater brutality?  The answer of course is that Joe Biden makes a lot of money working with the Chinese government and the last thing he wants to do is anger his benefactors.  Alternatively, Joe Biden also makes a lot of money working with the Ukraine government and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine threatens that arrangement.  Therefore, he can separate good brutality from bad brutality.  The difference is good for Joe Biden and bad for Joe Biden.

So, let’s look at his fiery statement, “For God’s sake, this man cannot remain in power.”  That sounds a lot like a statement I made a few weeks ago when I said, “How are we going to survive with this man as president for three more years?   The words are slightly different but the underlying thought is that some intolerable outrage cannot continue.

And since we are Americans and the welfare of America is the proper subject for the people and the government of America to occupy itself with, I consider my statement more important to Americans than Biden’s concern for the fate of a corrupt kleptocracy in the Russian sphere of influence.

Russia doesn’t want the CIA concocting color revolutions in its back yard.  It would be like Russia fomenting a revolution to install an anti-American regime in Mexico and then placing ICBMs there.  We wouldn’t stand for it.  We’d bring the full force of the US military to bear against this regime and topple it.

Russia has seen the same thing happen along its border in the former Warsaw Pact countries of Poland and Romania and then the former Soviet republics of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania.  Apparently, the Ukraine was the last straw.

The historical importance of the Ukraine in the Russian sense of nationality is great.  It’s even worse than my analogy with Mexico.  It would be more like if New England had been pried away from America and now the Chinese were making a deal to place missiles in Massachusetts.

But Biden is dishonest even in his lies.  He doesn’t intend to attack Russia head on.  He is wagging the dog to distract the American people from $5/gallon gasoline and $5/lb. hamburger meat.  He needs something to help Americans forget that he tried to bury us under vaccine mandates and that he has fanned inflation until it threatens to bankrupt our nation.

So, Joe Biden is calling for regime change in Russia.  What we really need is regime change in America.  The question is can we survive until it is complete in 2025.

A Clear Headed Analysis of Zelensky’s Mistake

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Ukrain’e President Zelensky is adored by the West.  Reporters and politicians practically sing his praises and vow to do whatever is needed to win his war for him.  But the realities of how he got into the truly awful predicament he’s in is not a story of statesmanship but one of terrible naivete.  Being a tv comedian may not be the background needed to navigate the space between nuclear superpowers.

I recommend this article to get a better understanding how Mr. Zelensky blundered his way into a disastrous war.

It comes down to a puppet for the American color revolution forces doing what he was told.  He may live to regret it if he is lucky.

Reality is Starting to Seep into the Ukraine Coverage

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For the last three weeks we’ve been hearing that the Ukrainians were winning their fight with Russia.  We heard about thousands of dead Russians and how the Ukraine wouldn’t give into the Russian demands on NATO and neutrality.  Well, that’s over.  Zelensky admits that Ukraine will not be joining NATO.  And according to this  Fox reporter returning from Ukraine, the Russian victory isn’t an if but a when.

And it’s a good thing for the Ukrainian people.  The sooner they come to terms with the Russians the sooner the death and destruction ends.  This is reminiscent of the United States and Mexico in the 19th century.   Smaller countries should keep on the good side of larger neighbors if they can.  I’m not saying it’s just.  It’s just reality.

 

 

An Interesting Article on Putin’s Strategy in the Ukraine

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The author’s thesis is that Putin losing the Ukraine war is probably the least likely alternative.  I thought it was a pretty good analysis of the likelihood of the various outcomes in the Ukraine War.

I think those in the West misunderstand the dynamic at work.  NATO has an agenda.  When that agenda threatens Russia too much it acts to push it back.  and now they’ve gone beyond a red line and may have permanently antagonized Vladimir Putin.  And that is a bad outcome for the West.  It is no longer a monopole world.  Russia, China, India and other states are starting to realize there is life outside of the West.  That is a very big deal.

The Outcome of the Ukraine War

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Predicting the future in a war is a fool’s errand.  So many things can happen to change the situation on the ground that even a few days of almost random occurrences can undermine the basis for a prediction.  But general principles can be used to guess what is likely to happen if the difference in strength between the two sides is lopsided enough.  So let me be foolish.

My first assumption is that Biden won’t risk military intervention.  He won’t declare a no-fly zone and he won’t shelter an openly operating insurgent force in a NATO country.  I think Biden is truly afraid of Putin.  Even the embargo against Russian oil and gas is probably more risk than he’s comfortable with.  Bottom line, I don’t think he’ll step into the war because he believes that Putin would as a last resort use nuclear weapons if the West interferes on the Ukraine battlefield.

The Russians have fought several wars in the last thirty years.  Some larger, some smaller.  The most difficult one was the Chechen insurgency.   Initially when the Russians attempted to occupy Chechnya the Chechens fought a brutal guerilla war that the Russians basically lost.  But in the second phase of the war the Russians figured out how to deal with guerilla fighters.  They surrounded them and then reduced the cities to rubble without engaging.  This limited the Russian casualties but increased Chechen civilian casualties.  I think that’s what they intend to do with the Ukrainian militias.  They’ll empty the cities of anyone who wants to get out and then starve the fighters out or blast them out.  This will tear the Ukraine to pieces and make it more likely that the Ukraine government will surrender.  But it’s not just the government that counts. Even if the Ukraine government surrenders guerilla fighters could extend the war indefinitely.

I guess the biggest unknown is just how committed the militia fighters are.  The Chechens were fearless and full of hate.  We’re about to find out what these Ukrainian militiamen are all about.  If they’re like the Chechens this thing won’t be over for years.  And that may exhaust the Russians ability to sustain the war while the West maintains sanctions and provides material aid.  If that happens Putin may decide to do something drastic and that could be disastrous for everyone including us.

But if the militias aren’t prepared to fight for every square inch of ground, then this thing will be over in a matter of months.  The Russians will be methodical and brutal.  They’ll reduce the cities to rubble and reclaim the country piece by piece until the militias have to surrender.  Putin has decided what he wants done and he will go about it in a determined fashion.  When the Ukrainian government surrenders, Putin will tie them up in a peace treaty to keep the West at arm’s length.

So that’s my read.  The only variable that matters at all is the fire in the rebels.  If they’re willing to fight to the death, they can hold up the war long enough to exhaust the Russians’ patience and resources.  If not, then the Russians will win.  It’s as simple as that.

H/T to the Conservative Treehouse for Primer on Ukraine Politics

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Sundance at the conservative Treehouse has many great links.  I never thought I’d be linking to a documentary made by Oliver Stone, the grandfather of the conspiracy theorists but I found this long (90 minutes) video very informative. Now without a doubt we are getting the Russian take on what happened in Ukraine but it looks like it describes pretty closely what happened in a “color revolution” staged by the CIA and the State Department.

And of course, the neocons and Joe Biden make their appearances.  I think Vladimir Putin is now my favorite evil dictator.  Maybe I looked into his eyes and saw his soul (or something).

Polish Jets and Blinken Blinks

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Hat tip to the Conservative Treehouse for following this story.

The Americans kept pushing for the Poles to let Ukrainians fly Polish jets from their bases into the Ukraine.  But the Poles aren’t crazy.  So they tossed it back to the Americans saying they’d give the old MIG jets to the Americans but they’d have to host them in Germany

Then the Americans realized the Poles had called their bluff and folded.

The people running our government are buffoons, scoundrels, madmen and cowards all at the same time.  It looks like they want a real shooting war but they’re too cowardly to start it themselves. It’s the old let’s you and he fight.  The Poles had the good sense to bow out of that arrangement and now they can see how brave and honest the Americans have shown themselves.

Biden, Harris and Blinken.  Cowards, fools and criminals.